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Falcons vs. Commanders Parlay Picks & Predictions: SNF SGP Odds

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: December 29, 2024 2:26 PM EST • 2 min 52 sec read.

Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier runs the ball as we make our Falcons vs. Commanders parlay.
Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier runs the ball against the New York Giants in the third quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Photo by Brett Davis / Imagn Images.

Playoff implications abound in our nation’s capital on Sunday Night Football as the Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders square off.

As we continue our NFL Week 17 predictions -- which include the Falcons vs. Commanders prediction -- my Falcons vs. Commanders parlay picks & predictions based on our best Sunday Night Football odds see an edge on a pair of rushing props in a rainy battle between NFC contenders.

The Commanders (-3.5) host the Falcons at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock).

Falcons vs. Commanders parlay predictions: Sunday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jayden Daniels Over 48.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyler Allgeier Over 30.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: | Implied probability: 12.50%

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SGP predictions for Falcons vs. Commanders

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite 68% of the wagers coming in on Over since this number opened at 47.5, we’re seeing the line creep down to between 46 and 46.5. 

We’re going to follow the sharp money anticipating a lower-scoring affair on Sunday night.

The Commanders have trended Over on totals this season, but they’re going up against a Falcons team whose games have gone 5-10 on Overs. Atlanta has had eight games finish below 46 points on the year, including five of its last six contests.

DraftKings has dropped the total to 46, but you can find a better number at some of our best sports betting apps if you want to make a straight bet on this total.

Jayden Daniels Over 48.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Daniels has turned up the heat in the running game in recent weeks and should have an attainable rushing line to target on Sunday night.

He's dashed for 66 or more yards in three of his last four games. That's because he's seeing consistent rushing opportunities, and he's had seven or more carries in seven of his last eight games.

The Falcons haven’t really seen any dual-threat quarterbacks on their schedule lately, but back in September, they allowed 57 rushing yards to Justin Fields and 85 rushing yards to Jalen Hurts.

Our best sportsbooks list Daniels’ rushing line between 48.5 and 49.5 yards, so DraftKings offers a slim edge on the prop compared to other books.

Tyler Allgeier Over 30.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Running behind Bijan Robinson, Allgeier gets a consistent enough weekly workload to consider his rushing yardage prop against a soft run defense.

Washington ranks 29th in run defense, allowing 137.4 yards per game on the ground, and Allgeier averages a healthy 4.6 YPC on the season. 

He's had eight-plus rushing attempts in four straight games, and has eclipsed 30.5 yards nine times on the year.

Although DraftKings offers less favorable numbers on the game total and Allgeier rushing line, their +700 SGP odds on all three plays blow the other sportsbooks out of the water.

A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $70.00.

Falcons vs. Commanders odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Sunday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Falcons vs. Commanders
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
  • How to watch: NBC/Peacock
  • Weather: 59 degrees, 70% chance of precipitation, wind 14 mph SSE
  • Favorite: Commanders -3.5 (-102 via DraftKings)

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.