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Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 16: Can Philadelphia Win Without Jalen Hurts?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 24, 2022 5:20 AM EST • 2 min 27 sec read.

The NFC East is still up for grabs between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. Read on for our Eagles vs. Cowboys NFL pick based on the best odds.

Philadelphia not only would clinch the NFC East with a win this week, but also the No. 1 seed and home field throughout the playoffs. The 13-1 Eagles have already tied a franchise record for wins in a season and have averaged 33 points per game during a five-game win streak.

Dallas became the fourth NFC team to clinch a playoff berth by way of Washington's loss last week. In last week's loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Cowboys fell to 0-3 on natural grass this season. In that game, Dallas allowed 17-plus points in the second half/overtime for the first time this season.

Dallas has won three of its last four games against Philadelphia, with the Eagles' lone win coming in a 26-17 Week 6 victory. Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott did not play in that game.

Here is our best Eagles vs. Cowboys NFL pick for Week 16 (odds via ; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

  Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.  

Eagles vs. Cowboys Game Info

Date: Saturday, Dec. 24, 4:25 p.m. ET 
TV: FOX
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Weather: Indoors

Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds

Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds Analysis

The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point home favorites, but spiked as high as -5.5 after it was learned Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts sprained his throwing shoulder last week; it has since settled at -4.5 across most sportsbooks. Despite the injury concern, Philadelphia has attracted 62% of the spread bets and 63% of the cash.

The total dropped from 50.5 to as low as 47 before bouncing back a half-point in most spots. The Over is now the popular bet at 82% f the cash and 74% of the tickets.

Eagles vs. Cowboys Pick

Under 47 ⭐⭐

Dallas has scored 27-plus points in seven consecutive games, tying the longest streak in franchise history. In addition, running back Ezekiel Elliott became the second Cowboy ever with a rushing touchdown in seven straight games. However, the Eagles will be the one to put an end to both streaks.

The Eagles rank first with 55 sacks (the most through 14 games since the 2000 Saints), interceptions (15), and yards per play allowed (4.7). They are fourth in defensive efficiency and face Prescott amid a poor streak where he has committed 10 turnovers since Week 7 (tied for the most in the NFL in that span). 

ESPN Analytics gives the Eagles a 39% chance to win if Hurts plays and a 23% chance if Gardner Minshew is called to action. Hurts ranks second in yards per attempt (8.2), second in TD-INT ratio (22-5), fourth in Total QBR (69), and fourth in passing and rushing touchdowns (35). That is a lot of production to replace, and since we do not expect Hurts to play, the drop in the total is justified.

Eagles vs. Cowboys Best Odds

PointsBet (Under 47 -107)

BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuelPointsBet
U 47.5 (-110)U 47.5 (-110)U 47.5 (-110)U 47.5 (-114)U 47 (-107)

The extra half-point of risk might deter some bettors, but it's the best value play here. PointsBet comes through again with its standard -107 offering on U 47; if you insist on taking the extra 0.5, you can't go wrong at any of BetMGM, Caesars and DraftKings.

Eagles-Cowboys pick made 12/22/2022 at 6:21 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”