Skip to main content

Dolphins vs. Packers Parlay Picks & Predictions: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds for Thanksgiving

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: November 28, 2024 1:36 PM EST • 3 min 23 sec read.

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed reacts after catching a pass against the Los Angeles Rams as we look at our Dolphins vs. Packers Thanksgiving parlay picks.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed reacts after catching a pass against the Los Angeles Rams. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images.

As the two sides gear up for prime time on Thanksgiving night, the Packers hold something the Dolphins are still chasing: a victory over a team with a winning record. Green Bay enters sitting seventh in the Super Bowl odds while getting highly favorable NFL playoff odds.

Our Dolphins vs. Packers TNF parlay based on the best Thursday Night Football odds predicts a strong performance from the home team against the weaker Dolphins for one of your NFL Thanksgiving picks.

The Packers (-3.5) host the Dolphins at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI on Thursday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC).

Dolphins vs. Packers parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Packers -3.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Under 47.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jayden Reed Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: | Implied probability: 14.81%

Bet $5, Get $150 + $1K Deposit Bonus

Terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

SGP predictions for Dolphins vs. Packers

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Packers -3.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though the Dolphins are riding into Thanksgiving on a three-game winning streak, their opponents from those games registered a combined record of 10-24, and none boast a winning record.

  • The Packers have proven themselves while compiling an 8-3 record against the league’s eight-ranked strength of schedule
  • The Dolphins are below .500 despite facing the NFL’s 32nd-ranked strength of schedule, and they haven’t beaten a winning team
  • Green Bay’s 4-1 home record has come against teams with a combined record of 42-26

FPI shows the Packers fourth with an expected points margin of plus-5.7 against an average opponent on a neutral field. Now Green Bay benefits from facing Miami at home, as the Dolphins are right in the middle of the league in FPI.

Under 47.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though we opened the week wondering if the market was overreacting to weather concerns as this total was bet down, it's now easier to imagine a lower-scoring affair on Thanksgiving night. That falls in line with season-long trends for both teams.

  • The Dolphins are 1-4 to the Over this season on the road, while the Packers are 2-3-1 to the Over at home
  • The Dolphins' defense has given up only 19.0 points per game on the road, while the Packers allow a mere 18.3 at home
  • For both squads, seven of the last 11 games have finished below 47.5 points

This number sits at 47.5 across all of our best NFL prop betting sites, though DraftKings and FanDuel offer slightly less value on the Under with -112 odds instead of the -110 elsewhere.

Rod Villagomez outlines why the Dolphins' quarterback could contribute to the Under hitting in his Tua Tagovailoa TNF player prop bets.

Jayden Reed Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jayden Reed has hit 50-plus receiving yards in six of his 11 games this season, but he’s looking to bounce back after missing the mark the past couple of weeks.

Our Phil Wood thinks Reed's quarterback will help plenty in his Dolphins vs. Packers TNF player prop bets, as does Gabe Henderson in his Jordan Love TNF player prop bets.

Meanwhile, our Mike Spector is eyeing another Packers pass-catcher in his Dolphins vs. Packers prediction.  

  • Those recent quiet outputs for Reed came with Love only attempting 40 total passes across two games
  • Love’s passing attempts line is being set at 31.5 at most of our best NFL parlay betting sites, which suggests more opportunities lie ahead for Green Bay receivers
  • With Romeo Doubs ruled out, we like the Green Bay passing game to consolidate around Reed more than it has in recent weeks

FanDuel offers an edge on Reed’s line at 48.5 yards instead of 50.5 yards, but that book's overall parlay odds of +517 aren’t nearly as attractive as other spots. DraftKings leads the way at +575, so we’ll play our parlay there.

A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $57.50 for one of your NFL Week 13 predictions.

Dolphins vs. Packers odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Thursday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Dolphins vs. Packers
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • How to watch: NBC
  • Weather: 26 degrees, 42% chance of precipitation, wind 14 mph WNW
  • Favorite: Packers -3.5 (-102 via FanDuel)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages

Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.