Deebo Samuel TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Last Updated: October 10, 2024 5:00 PM EDT • 4 min 26 sec read.
Deebo Samuel is coming off his worst game of the season against the Arizona Cardinals, but he and his San Francisco 49ers will look to bounce back on Thursday Night Football against the Seattle Seahawks. The 49ers enter as the third-ranked team in the Super Bowl odds.
The Cardinals pretty much embarrassed the 49ers in Week 5. They carried a 23-10 lead into halftime before surrendering 14 straight points, 11 of which came in the fourth quarter.
For his part, Samuel recorded just one catch for 11 yards on three targets, adding nine rushing yards on three carries. Four touches for one of the league's most dynamic players is simply unacceptable, and the versatile receiver could be in for a bit of a squeaky wheel game.
Our Deebo Samuel TNF player prop bets mostly expect that outcome, as we're featuring a four-star touchdown pick along with a yardage Over, all based on the best Thursday Night Football odds.
Can Samuel get loose against a vulnerable Seahawks secondary that's allowed 344 combined yards to wide receivers during the last two weeks? Or will Seattle hold him in check much like Arizona did?
We made sure to heavily feature this exciting NFC West showdown, as we also offer our 49ers vs. Seahawks prediction and 49ers vs. Seahawks TNF prop bets.
Deebo Samuel prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Deebo Samuel touchdown pick: Anytime TD () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Deebo Samuel Over 71.5 receiving + rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐
- Deebo Samuel Under 4.5 receptions () ⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Deebo Samuel touchdown pick vs. Seahawks
Deebo Samuel to score a touchdown (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
As I noted on , it's easy to miss the value on a Samuel touchdown while digging through his projections and making your NFL predictions for Week 6.
Samuel is projected to score 0.37 receiving touchdowns on Thursday through NumberFire. Based on that projection alone, I wouldn't touch a Samuel TD bet, especially at these odds.
However, when we combine that with his 0.23 rushing TD projection, Samuel serves as one of the most likely wide receivers to score this week along with CeeDee Lamb and Ja'Marr Chase. Those two are trading at far shorter odds, with Lamb actually at minus money across our best sports betting sites despite owning a nearly identical touchdown projection (0.61).
Therefore, this isn't just a good bet but a great one. That's why I'm giving it four stars - something I would very rarely do for a touchdown prop.
Meanwhile, Esten McLaren is eyeing another 49ers pass-catcher to score in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions, as is Rod Villagomez as part of his first touchdown scorer predictions.
Best odds: +130 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 43.48%
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Deebo Samuel player props
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Deebo Samuel Over 71.5 receiving + rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
Samuel managed just four touches in Week 5. The 49ers will likely try to get him going early to set the tone on Thursday night.
However, considering Samuel has recorded more carries than receptions in half his games this season, it's difficult to pinpoint exactly how those yards will come. Therefore, I'll opt to take the Over on his receiving + rushing yards prop.
Samuel is projected to finish with just a sliver more than the 72 yards he requires, which is why I've made this only a three-star pick.
However, I'm still confident enough in it considering the Seahawks allowed a Malik Nabers-less New York Giants receiving corps to rack up 158 yards last week.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Deebo Samuel Under 4.5 receptions (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
Squeaky wheel gets the grease? Sure. But we don't know exactly how that wheel will be greased.
Samuel could go well Over the 71 receiving + rushing yards he requires through four catches and six or seven carries. After all, he averages 14.5 yards per reception and six yards per rushing attempt for his career.
Additionally, though he's not a true running back, the Seahawks have been getting blasted in the run game recently. One week after the Detroit Lions' tandem of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs ran for 118 yards on 26 carries, Giants backup running back Tyrone Tracy went off for 129 rushing yards on just 18 carries (good for 7.2 per attempt).
Therefore, we could see the 49ers lean on the running game early and often. And with Jordan Mason averaging more than 20 carries per game to start the year, San Francisco might look to Samuel to lighten his load.
Best odds: -115 via Caesars | Implied probability: 53.49%
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49ers vs. Seahawks odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: 49ers vs. Seahawks
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Lumen Field, Seattle
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 52 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph N
- Favorite: 49ers -3.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
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Andrew Brennan