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Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) celebrates with head coach Kevin O'Connell as we break down the latest NFL Coach of the Year odds after Week 15.
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) celebrates with head coach Kevin O'Connell. Photo by Matt Krohn / Imagn Images.

The NFC North is the most competitive division in football, and the latest NFL Coach of the Year odds feature two of its head coaches in a tense race after Week 15.

Detroit Lions coach Dan Campbell was the overwhelming favorite by the NFL Coach of the Year odds last week, but Sunday's loss to the Buffalo Bills knocked him down a peg and dropped the Lions from the top spot by the Super Bowl odds.

Instead, Minnesota Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell is the new favorite with his team favored by the Monday Night Football odds to win tonight against the Chicago Bears.

NFL Coach of the Year odds & favorites

NFL Coach of the Year odds via our best NFL prop betting sites entering Week 16. See our NFL player prop odds tool for the latest odds on any team or player.

Kevin O'Connell, Vikings (+175)

O'Connell was an early favorite for this award after leading Minnesota to a perfect 5-0 start, but two losses after the bye week soured his odds entering November.

The Vikings haven't lost since, winning six straight after last week's 42-21 beatdown over the Atlanta Falcons, and they enter tonight as touchdown favorites over the Bears. We even included Minnesota in our Super Bowl predictions entering Week 16 as one of the best title bets on the market.

O'Connell has been pivotal to his team's success behind a new quarterback in Sam Darnold, and he would get my vote if the season ended today. That makes these +175 odds via FanDuel particularly appealing with a winning $10 bet profiting $17.50.

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Dan Campbell, Lions (+250)

Just last week, Campbell was dealing at minus-odds to win this award, and it was hard to argue with the logic given the Lions' dominant start to the season.

Then came a rather deflating 48-42 loss to the Bills that wasn't as close as the final score would suggest. That defeat also left Detroit reeling with two more starters - running back David Montgomery and defensive tackle Alim McNeill - done for the year.

If Campbell can steer Detroit to the No. 1 seed amid all those injuries, he'll have one heck of a case to win this award and could be a nice value at these +250 odds via bet365. And if he can't? It'll be hard to reward him for a marginal jump from last year's group that finished tied for first in the NFC.

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Sean Payton, Broncos (+550)

Remember when Payton was ridiculed earlier this season after a 0-2 start following a disappointing debut season in Denver? He's led the Broncos to nine wins in 12 games after his team demolished the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.

He's done it all with a rookie quarterback in Bo Nix and not a ton of talent around him, though his defense has looked every bit like an elite unit with All-Pro cornerback Patrick Surtain II leading the way.

Denver is a virtual lock by the latest NFL playoffs odds after entering the season with a win total of 5.5, which speaks to the remarkable job Payton has done in his second season back on the bench.

For now, his candidacy feels like a poor man's version of what O'Connell has done in Minnesota, but that could change over the next three weeks. That's why I don't mind his value at FanDuel with a $10 bet returning a $55 profit.

Dan Quinn, Commanders (+750)

Like O'Connell, Quinn was briefly the favorite a few weeks ago before Washington tumbled into a three-game losing streak to temporarily kill his case for this award.

The Commanders have bounced back with two straight wins sandwiched around a bye week, though Sunday's narrow win over the New Orleans Saints didn't exactly help his case as a +750 long shot via FanDuel.

It'll likely take a perfect 3-0 run for Quinn to jump back into contention. A win next week over the Philadelphia Eagles could do wonders for his chances.

Mike Tomlin, Steelers (+1400)

Tomlin is always the bridesmaid and never the bride when it comes to this award, which he's remarkably never won in his 18 seasons in Pittsburgh.

The primary reason? His teams are always good enough to elicit praise but not quite at the level to award Tomlin for his coaching mastery. It's the same old story this year: the Steelers are an impressive 10-4 despite an in-season quarterback change, though their record inflates the product we've seen weekly on the field.

I wouldn't expect Tomlin to break through this time around, though there are worse ways to spend your money than a $10 dart throw at FanDuel, where you'd earn a $140 profit if voters opt to finally reward the Steelers' longtime coach.

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