Commanders vs. Ravens Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Can Jayden Daniels Outshine Lamar Jackson?

The unavoidable comparisons of young buck Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson, who is yet again an MVP odds front-runner, aren’t going anywhere, a perfect segue for when the two dynamic quarterbacks face each other on Sunday for the first time.

Thanks to three straight wins and Jackson's MVP-caliber play, the Ravens are getting the third-shortest Super Bowl odds. Daniels, the clear Offensive Player of the Year odds favorite, has led the Washington Commanders to a 4-1 start, tied for the third-best record. 

Our Commanders vs. Ravens player prop coverage, part of our NFL Week 6 predictions, explores the impact that both dual-threat signal-callers might have on one of the most compelling matchups on the NFL slate.

Commanders vs. Ravens NFL player prop bets: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

• Derrick Henry touchdown pick: Henry 2+ touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jayden Daniels Under 50.5 rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Terry McLaurin Over 56.5 receiving yards (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Commanders vs. Ravens touchdown pick

Derrick Henry 2+ touchdowns (+210) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Washington ranks 21st in run defense, allowing 130.0 rushing yards per game.

Derrick Henry has been a bulldozer capable of house calls from just about anywhere on the field, making him a premium threat for a big day on Sunday in Baltimore’s run scheme against the Commanders' malleable rush defense.

Gotta be Caesars to bet King Henry

Given the risk that Jackson siphons away a score from Henry at the goal line, this is a three-star play. Caesars offers a solid outlier price of +210.

DraftKings’ +190 odds are still worth betting, but avoid the diluted value on this prop at FanDuel (+155) and BetMGM (+140). A winning $10 bet profits $21. 

Best odds: +210 via Caesars | Implied probability: 32.26%

Best Commanders vs. Ravens prop bets

Jayden Daniels Under 50.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The problem with Daniels’ likelihood of taking over this game with his legs is that he faces a Ravens defense that has seen Jackson every week in practice for the past seven years.

Given the matchup, I find it unlikely Daniels will make his usual mark as a runner.

Baltimore has seen this before

Baltimore is familiar with Daniels’ play style and has the linebacker speed to contain him on the ground. Considering Daniels has only cleared a 50-yard rushing total in 40 percent of his games (2 out of 5), I’m surprised to see this total above the mid-40s.

Instead of the 48.5-yard line featured at FanDuel and DraftKings, we’ll attack the Under on this prop at bet365, where we’re getting solid -110 odds on Under 50.5 yards. A winning $10 bet profits $9.09. 

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Terry McLaurin Over 56.5 receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

An area in which Daniels could thrive in this matchup is his arm. Baltimore has allowed 280.2 passing yards per game, which ranks a dismal 31st in the NFL.

The realistic potential for splash plays for Terry McLaurin has been one of the most exciting developments early in Daniels’ tenure in D.C. Given the potential for lapses in the Ravens’ secondary, I like Terry to get scary again this week after posting 100+ yard outings in two of his past three games.

McLaurin’s receiving line at Caesars is soft compared to the rest of the market, as he needs only to eclipse 56.5 yards (-120) to cash the Over on this prop. Elsewhere, we found McLaurin’s receiving line between 59.5 and 60.5 yards.

Best odds: -120 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.55%

Commanders vs. Ravens game info

• When: Sunday, Oct. 13
• Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
• How to watch: CBS
• Weather: 72 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph S
• Favorite: Ravens -6.5 (-115 via FanDuel)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)