Colts vs. Texans Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Stroud to Bounce Back

The Indianapolis Colts seek a share of first place in the AFC South when they meet the Houston Texans for the second time this season.

• Indianapolis has won four of five games since starting 0-2
• The Colts are off to their best start (4-3) since 2020, but the four wins have been by a combined 18 points
• The Texans are 1-2 against NFC opponents but are 4-0 against the AFC this season, which bodes well for this matchup
• Houston is among the contenders by the Super Bowl odds despite its 4-3 record

Our Colts vs. Texans player props expect a big bounce-back performance by C.J. Stroud following the worst game of his career, and we're calling for one of his pass-catchers to reel in his first touchdown of the season.

Be sure to check out our NFL Week 8 predictions for everything you need to know ahead of the weekend.

Colts vs. Texans NFL player prop bets: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

• Dalton Schultz touchdown pick: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐
• C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Michael Pittman Jr. Under 51.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Colts vs. Texans touchdown pick

Dalton Schultz anytime touchdown scorer (+340) ⭐⭐

I wanted to identify a Texans pass-catcher for the anytime touchdown scorer prop considering C.J. Stroud’s career success against the Colts.

Stroud has 13 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions when facing AFC South opponents in his career, including six touchdowns against the Colts (he has two passing touchdowns in each of the three meetings).

Schultz has yet to reel in a touchdown this year, but his value is much better compared to Stefon Diggs’ +115 odds at DraftKings or Tank Dell’s +155 odds at Caesars, especially since the latter has just one touchdown catch in the last seven games.

DraftKings offers much lower +240 anytime touchdown odds for Schultz, so I am headed to Caesars, where my winning $10 wager would net $34 in profits compared to $24 at DraftKings.

Best odds: +340 via Caesars | Implied probability: 22.73%

Best Colts vs. Texans prop bets

C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Stroud amazingly has a 50/50 chance based on the implied probability to throw multiple touchdowns in this game, even though he has done so in all three career meetings with the Colts.

Stroud has averaged 20.2 fantasy points in three games against Indianapolis. But our best sports betting sites are seemingly lowering expectations since he is without the injured Nico Collins and coming off a game against the Packers in which he completed just 48% of his passes and was off target on one of every three throws.

Stroud has the third-most dropbacks under pressure of any quarterback in the league, and he went 2-for-8 for 13 yards while taking four sacks when he was pressured on 13 of 29 dropbacks last week.

The good news for Stroud is that the Colts generate pressure at the third-lowest rate this season and rank in the bottom seven in passing yards allowed per game.

Thus, he should be much more comfortable in the pocket this week, and I expect the Texans' coaching staff to allow him to sling it often in the red zone to build his confidence back after last week’s career-worst performance.

All of our best sports betting apps are aligned with the +100 odds for Stroud to throw two or more touchdowns.

Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50.00%

Michael Pittman Jr. Under 51.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Pittman is likely longing for Joe Flacco to return as the starting quarterback, as he's struggled mightily with Anthony Richardson under center.

Pittman has zero receiving touchdowns with Richardson as the starter but has hauled in a receiving touchdown in each of the two games without Richardson. As a result, his fantasy points per game average falls almost five points while playing with Richardson.

This season, Richardson ranks last among all qualified quarterbacks in completion percentage (49%), off-target percentage (23%), and completion percentage over expected (per NFL Next Gen Stats, minus-11%).

This would become a more confident four-star play if Colts running back Jonathan Taylor is active (he is questionable with an ankle injury).

Taylor has 685 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns in his last five games against the Texans, which is the most rushing yards and is tied for the most rushing touchdowns against a single opponent since 2021.

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

Colts vs. Texans game info

• When: Sunday, Oct. 27
• Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Where: NRG Stadium (Houston)
• How to watch: CBS
• Weather: Indoors
• Favorite: Texans -5.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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