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Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud waves to the crowd as we make our best C.J. Stroud player prop picks.
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud waves to the crowd at Nissan Stadium. Photo by Steve Roberts / Imagn Images.

Quarterback C.J. Stroud will look to pick up his second playoff win in as many seasons when his Houston Texans battle the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday.

Despite being the higher seed and playing at home, the Texans are 3-point underdogs for the 4:30 p.m. ET kickoff at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. As part of our NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions, I make my best C.J. Stroud player prop picks for this matchup against one of the league's best defenses.

Stroud finished the year with significantly worse numbers than in his rookie campaign. He threw for 3,727 yards and managed just 20 touchdowns against 12 interceptions. Will his struggles continue today? 

C.J. Stroud prop bets: Wild Card Weekend

NFL odds as of Saturday. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

  • C.J. Stroud prop pick: Over 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • C.J. Stroud prop pick: Over 33.5 passing attempts () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • C.J. Stroud prop pick: Over 231.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐

C.J. Stroud Wild Card Weekend player props

NFL picks made Saturday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

C.J. Stroud Over 0.5 interceptions ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Turnovers have been a problem for Stroud all season, especially against good teams. He threw his first two interceptions of the season in Week 3 against the Minnesota Vikings. Including that contest, he’s thrown eight interceptions against six teams playing in the postseason. That's part of why our C Jackson Cowart doesn't have them advancing in his NFL playoff bracket predictions.

Stroud didn’t throw an interception in his final game of the season, but he also barely played. In the two games before that, he threw a combined three interceptions against the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. Unfortunately for Stroud, the Chargers are better than both those teams at forcing interceptions, as they averaged 0.9 per game this season.

DraftKings and Caesars both have this price set at -125, so wagering at either is a good call. Our other best sports betting sites ask for even more juice for the sophomore to throw a pick.

Best odds: -125 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 55.56%

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C.J. Stroud Over 33.5 passing attempts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If you disregard the final game of the season, where Stroud threw just six passes, the second-year QB finished the season with 526 attempts in 16 games. That’s an average of 32.875 attempts per game. Stroud has thrown at least 30 passes in 14 games this season, so his floor is very high. He’s topped this number seven times.

The Chargers allowed 33.2 pass attempts per game in the regular season. But what makes them so dangerous is how few yards they allow per attempt. They gave up just 6.2 per attempt, the fourth-best mark in the league. Stroud will be throwing most of this game, and because the Chargers’ secondary is solid, he won’t continually have success, which will increase his attempts.

Our best sports betting apps have this total set at 33.5. While there is barely any difference in the price at four of the five sportsbooks, FanDuel is the only one offering less than -120.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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C.J. Stroud Over 231.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐

Finding my third-best Stroud prop was tough.

He’s been very inconsistent this season, and while the Chargers don’t allow many points, they have given up a lot of yards every now and then. Therefore, I will back Stroud to throw for at least 232 yards in a game he’s likely to be trailing in.

Stroud has thrown fewer than 200 yards in three of his last four games. But he did throw for 244 yards against the Chiefs during that span, and he threw for at least 242 yards in the three games before his current four-game stretch.

The Chargers have the seventh-best pass defense in football, but they still allowed 206.9 passing yards per game. Plus, they’re coming off a questionable performance where Las Vegas Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell threw for 214 against them, and three weeks ago, Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix went for 263.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Expert Chargers vs. Texans picks

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