Chiefs vs. Browns Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction

Travis Kelce faces a chance to become the Kansas City Chiefs’ all-time leader in receiving touchdowns Sunday in his hometown when the team visits the Cleveland Browns as 4-point favorites in the NFL odds for Week 15 (1 p.m. ET, CBS).

The Chiefs also enter sitting second in the Super Bowl odds at our NFL prop betting sites.  

A Kelce anytime touchdown is one of our Chiefs vs. Browns player prop picks for the Week 15 matchup. But we’re also eying a couple of Cleveland players to do damage in the passing game.

Chiefs vs. Browns NFL player prop picks: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

• Travis Kelce touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jerry Jeudy Over 68.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• James Winston Over 237.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Chiefs vs. Browns touchdown prediction

Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (+145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +145 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40.8%

Kelce always elevates his play for games against the tight end's hometown team, and he's scored five touchdowns in three career matchups versus the Browns.

Expect Patrick Mahomes to look for his star tight end in the red zone, especially with Kelce one touchdown reception away from the Chiefs' franchise record.

Mahomes has already been looking Kelce’s way more often down the stretch of the season, connecting for at least six catches in six of the club's last seven games. Meanwhile, Cleveland has allowed nearly 300 passing yards to tight ends over its last four games and three touchdowns in the last six weeks.

A Kelce anytime touchdown will likely be a popular narrative this week, so the odds might shorten before kickoff at our top NFL parlay betting sites.

However, as of Friday we could still get +145 odds at DraftKings, a comparable price to the +150 that a Kelce anytime touchdown paid out last week versus the Los Angeles Chargers.

Our Andrew Brennan is also eyeing Isiah Pacheco to score in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15.

Best Chiefs vs. Browns prop picks

Jerry Jeudy Over 68.5 receiving yards (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -118 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.1%

Jeudy has emerged as Cleveland’s clear No. 1 receiver since the midseason departure of Amari Cooper. He’s compiled 678 receiving yards since Week 8, with 526 coming during the Browns’ past four games.

The wideout has also been consistent, posting six-plus catches in four of his last five games and gaining at 64-plus yards in six straight. And while Kansas City’s defense ranks seventh in points allowed per contest, the Chiefs' secondary has given up at least 180 passing yards to receivers in three of the team's last five games.

Jeudy is also familiar with the Chiefs' defense after playing eight career games against Kansas City while with the Denver Broncos. Receivers on division rivals like Jakobi Meyers, Joshua Palmer, and Courtland Sutton have accounted for three of the top five wide receiver yardage totals the Chiefs have allowed this season.

Jameis Winston Over 237.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.5%

Winston has always been a grip-it-and-rip-it guy, and that hasn’t changed since taking over the Browns' starting QB role from the injured Deshaun Watson. He's averaging 315.3 passing yards per game over six contests under center this season, and the nine interceptions during that span demonstrate how much he’s not afraid to take chances downfield.

Yes, a 497-yard performance against the Denver Broncos is inflating Winston's passing yards average. But two of the other five games came against the Pittsburgh Steelers’ tough pass defense. Cleveland head coach Kevin Stefanski sticking with him rather than evaluating Dorian Thompson-Robinson down the stretch should also embolden Winston.

These odds have been steadily climbing since the opening number, but you could still find Winston’s passing yardage prop at 237.5 through BetMGM as of Friday morning. If you have access to BetRivers, that book is even offering 231.5 for one of your NFL Week 15 predictions.

Our Mike Spector thinks Winston could play a role in the Browns stunning the Chiefs in his NFL upset picks for Week 15.

Chiefs vs. Browns game info

• When: Sunday, Dec. 15
• Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
• How to watch: CBS
• Weather: 42 degrees, 70% chance of precipitation, winds 18 mph S
• Favorite: Chiefs (-4 via BetMGM)

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