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Browns vs. Ravens Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 4, 2025 6:00 AM EST • 3 min 49 sec read.

Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry runs for a gain against the Pittsburgh Steelers as we look at our Browns vs. Ravens player prop picks.
Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry runs for a gain against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Photo by Mitch Stringer/Imagn Images.

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens will look to wrap up the AFC North against the struggling Cleveland Browns. The Ravens enter sitting fourth in the Super Bowl odds.

Baltimore is a massive favorite as I make the best Browns vs. Ravens player prop picks for Saturday’s 4:30 p.m. ET game (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). The Browns have scored fewer than 10 points in three consecutive matchups, and this week Bailey Zappe will start for them at quarterback.

That's a significant reason why the Ravens are a whopping 19.5-point favorite in the NFL Week 18 odds. Mike Spector thinks they'll easily dominate in his Ravens vs. Browns prediction.

The Ravens have scored 30-plus points in three consecutive games. Will Jackson and the rest of the offense produce another massive day? Or is there a chance some players rest in the second half if the game gets out of reach for the Browns?

Browns vs. Ravens NFL player prop picks: Saturday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

  • Derrick Henry touchdown prediction: 3+ touchdowns () ⭐⭐
  • Jerry Jeudy Over 53.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Lamar Jackson Under 207.5 passing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Browns vs. Ravens touchdown prediction

Derrick Henry 3+ touchdowns (+800) ⭐⭐

Best odds: +800 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.11%

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Derrick Henry has only scored one touchdown in his last five games, and he’s yet to notch more than two touchdowns in a game this season. However, he’s scored multiple touchdowns in four games this year, and he’s about to get an easy matchup.

The Browns are giving up 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game this season. That's tied for the fifth-most leaguewide. Henry scored once when he faced them earlier this season, but he also only ran the ball 11 times. He's logged 51 carries over the last two weeks, and Henry should receive a lot of touches in this game with the Ravens surely ahead significantly.

If you don’t want to take this much of a risk, then back Henry to score two-plus touchdowns for +230 at Caesars. Zappe is set to struggle against the Ravens’ defense, which should set up Baltimore with good field position all game.

Best Browns vs. Ravens prop picks

Jerry Jeudy Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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The Browns’ passing attack isn’t likely to do much with Zappe under center. But Cleveland is projected to suffer a three-score loss, so any offense the Browns do register will be through the air. That means Jeudy should be in for a solid day.

Jeudy has very quietly been putting together a phenomenal season. Despite the Browns' quarterback struggles, Jeudy is still sixth leaguewide with 1,166 yards. He's also accumulated 64-plus yards eight times over the last nine weeks.

All of our NFL prop betting sites are setting this total set at 53.5, but bet365 is alone while offering a price better than -115. DraftKings is currently favoring the Over, so there’s a chance this goes up before kickoff.

Lamar Jackson Under 207.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

Jackson has thrown for fewer than 207 yards in consecutive games. While there's a heated Josh Allen vs. Lamar Jackson battle in the NFL MVP odds, the Ravens winning a Super Bowl is the most important outcome for the team this season. Jackson won’t be put in harm’s way any longer than he needs to be on Saturday.

The Browns’ pass defense has also been decent, as the unit is only allowing 212.1 passing yards per game. That's fallen to fewer than 200 yards per contest over the team's last three outings. Granted, the Browns are getting blown out, so teams aren’t throwing against them late in games. But that won’t change this week.

FanDuel is listing this total at just 190.5. That’s 13 yards lower than the next lowest total available. DraftKings is offering the highest number for a fair price, so wager there for one of your NFL Week 18 predictions.

Browns vs. Ravens expert picks

Browns vs. Ravens game info

  • When: Saturday, Jan. 4
  • Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • How to watch: ESPN/ABC/ESPN+
  • Weather: 34 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, wind 15-mph WNW
  • Favorite: Ravens -20 (-108 via DraftKings)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.