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New Orleans Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler hands the ball off of running back Alvin Kamara against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as we look at our Broncos vs. Saints TNF parlay.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler hands the ball off of running back Alvin Kamara against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Photo by Stephen Lew/Imagn Images.

It’s Bo Nix vs. Spencer Rattler day and you can already feel Al Michaels’ enthusiasm through the screen.

The excitement is surely palpable in the French Quarter. And for those reading these parlay picks, it should be!

Our Broncos vs. Saints TNF parlay based on the best Thursday Night Football odds envisions an increase in workload for one lesser-known rookie leading to strong value on his anytime touchdown odds.

Both teams are listed as long shots in the Super Bowl odds ahead of a game in which Mike Spector anticipates a significant night from Alvin Kamara in his .

Broncos vs. Saints parlay: Thursday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Under 37.5 (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 receptions (-128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Audric Estime anytime touchdown scorer (+700) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: | Implied probability: 3.11%

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SGP predictions for Broncos vs. Saints

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Under 37.5 (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Saints giving up 51 points to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home last weekend doesn’t seem to be fooling anyone into thinking this Thursday night matchup with the Broncos is going to be a shootout.

With Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed ruled out, New Orleans will be starting a human person named Bub Means at wide receiver. Spencer Rattler will be throwing the football to Means and Mason Tipton, who went to Yale.

Yes, that’s really the Saints’ plan.

It’s not much better for Denver. The Broncos average 18.7 points per game, and three of their six contests have ended with totals of 33 or fewer. That includes two failing to reach 20 points.

DraftKings, Caesars, and BetMGM all list this total at 37, so we prefer the FanDuel number at 37.5.

Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 receptions (-128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With Spencer Rattler likely struggling to find his inexperienced receivers open down the field, Thursday night could be a checkdown haven for Alvin Kamara.

Even before injuries to Olave and Shaheed, Kamara was being heavily targeted in the passing game. He has racked up 8-plus targets in three straight games entering Thursday, while catching five-plus passes in each of those contests.

Kamara is getting -128 odds to go Over 4.5 receptions at FanDuel. The prices are less favorable elsewhere at our best sportsbooks, including a -150 mark at DraftKings.

FanDuel offers the option for alternate reception totals to build a juicer parlay. But once you see our last leg on this parlay, you won’t feel the need to make this parlay any crazier than it already is now.

Esten McLaren is also expecting a major scoring night from Kamara in his Alvin Kamara touchdown picks, as is Gary Pearson in his Alvin Kamara TNF player prop bets.

Audric Estime anytime touchdown scorer (+700) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Ready to get crazy? This next prop is what elevates our SGP to the juiciest overall parlay odds we’ve recommended all season.

In an otherwise ugly game, we like rookie RB Audric Estime to score a touchdown.

  • The Saints rank 30th in the NFL in opposing yards per rushing attempt, allowing 5.2 YPC
  • New Orleans has allowed three 100-plus-yard rushers in its past four games, with signed-off-the-street Kareem Hunt and third-stringer Sean Tucker accounting for two of those occasions
  • The Saints allow 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game
  • After continued inefficiency and a fumble last week from Javonte Williams, Sean Payton has been on the record as wanting to see more of Estime

I trust the hunch on Estime because sportsbooks don’t even know what to do with him. There’s no yardage total offered across our best sports betting sites.

That’s fine. We’ll double down and play Estime for an anytime touchdown, with the +700 odds increasing our parlay odds to an astronomical +3112 at FanDuel.

The DraftKings version of this parlay reaches +3300 odds. But we’re prioritizing FanDuel because it's listing the game total at an advantageous 37.5 points instead of 37.

A winning $10 wager on this parlay at FanDuel would profit $311.20 as part of your NFL Week 7 predictions.

Broncos vs. Saints odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Thursday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Broncos vs. Saints
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Broncos -2.5 ()

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