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Broncos vs. Jets Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Can Nix Thrive Against Tough Pass Defense?

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: September 28, 2024 7:30 AM EDT • 3 min 41 sec read.

Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix drops back to pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the third quarter at Raymond James Stadium as we look at our Broncos vs. Jets player prop bet odds & touchdown picks.
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix drops back to pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the third quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck/Imagn Images.

Week 4 features a duel between a future Hall of Fame quarterback and a rookie first-round pick. Will youth prevail? Or will experience rule the day?

The New York Jets, who sit eighth in the Super Bowl odds, find themselves a game out of first place in the AFC East, with Aaron Rodgers at the helm and leading the NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds. It's still early, but there's hope for a playoff appearance for the first time since 2011.

A rookie quarterback leads the Denver Broncos as they turn the page on the failed Russell Wilson experiment. Bo Nix and his team started 0-2, but they're now riding the wave of a win last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Can the Broncos and Nix prevail against a tough Jets defense?

Broncos vs. Jets NFL player prop bets: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

  • Allen Lazard to score a second-half touchdown () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Bo Nix Over 18.5 completions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Braelon Allen Over 8.5 rushing attempts () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Broncos vs. Jets touchdown pick

Allen Lazard to score a second-half touchdown (+700) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Aaron Rodgers has been taking full advantage of his familiarity with Allen Lazard this season. 

Lazard has secured a team-high three touchdown receptions over his first three outings this year. He served as a safety blanket for his former Green Bay teammate in Week 1, reaching the end zone twice against the San Francisco 49ers. 

Two of Lazard’s three trips across the goal line have come after the half. Additionally, seven of his 11 receptions this season have happened in the second half.

Denver hasn’t given up a second-half touchdown in two weeks. However, the Broncos allowed the Seahawks to find the end zone twice after halftime in Week 1.

I expect this game to be tightly contested, which will keep Lazard in play deep into the matchup. A $10 investment on this bet will yield a $70 profit as part of your NFL Week 4 predictions.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 12.50%

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Best Broncos vs. Jets prop bets

Bo Nix Over 18.5 completions (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bo Nix is three for three in completing at least 19 passes in a game to start his career.

The Broncos rank fourth in the NFL while averaging 37.7 pass attempts per game so far this season. Nix has logged a completion percentage of 62.8 while completing the seventh-most passes in the league. 

The long shot in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds will face a Jets pass defense that ranks eighth in the league in pass completions allowed per game (18). Two of the three quarterbacks the Jets have faced this season have connected on 19 of their tosses.

Denver will need to lean on the rookie to compensate for its ineffective rushing attack that's averaging only 99.7 yards per game (21st). Nix will get the opportunity to reach this mark in a game that could be competitive throughout.  

Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Braelon Allen Over 8.5 rushing attempts (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Braelon Allen's usage has been skyrocketing over his first three career games as a result of his explosive 5.1 yards per carry average. 

He registered just a single carry in Week 1. That jumped to seven the following week. Then last week he was given 11 carries. In fact, the rookie gained 55 yards to Breece Hall’s 54 yards on five fewer touches. 

Teams are averaging 28.3 rushing attempts per game against the Denver defense. Running backs account for 24 of those attempts. 

Both Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren crossed the nine-carry threshold during the Broncos’ Week 2 contest against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

You’ll stand to bring back $8.33 from a $10 wager on this prop. 

Best odds: | Implied probability: 54.55%

Broncos vs. Jets game info

  • When: Sunday, Sept. 29
  • Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: MetLife Stadium (New Jersey)
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: 68 degrees, 24% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds
  • Favorite: Jets ()

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.