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Broncos vs. Chargers Parlay Picks & Predictions: TNF SGP Odds

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: December 19, 2024 2:22 PM EST • 3 min 8 sec read.

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey carries the ball on a 37-yard reception against Kansas City Chiefs as we look at our Broncos vs. Chargers parlay picks.
Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey carries the ball on a 37-yard reception against Kansas City Chiefs. Photo by Kirby Lee/Imagn Images.

It’s win-and-in scenario for the Broncos as Sean Payton's team looks to clinch a playoff berth. The Chargers would also go a long way toward solidifying their standing in the NFL playoff odds with a victory over a division rival on Thursday Night Football.

Our Broncos vs. Chargers TNF parlay based on the best Thursday Night Football odds envisions Denver’s leaky secondary as a problem against standout rookie Ladd McConkey. But we’re leaning on our trust in the Broncos’ road prowess when it comes to the spread.

The Chargers (-2.5) host the Broncos at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif. Thursday night at 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video).

Our Mike Spector dives into this matchup further in his Broncos vs. Chargers prediction.

Broncos vs. Chargers parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Broncos +2.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Bo Nix Over 220.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Ladd McConkey Over 68.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds:  | Implied probability: 16.00%

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SGP predictions for Broncos vs. Chargers

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Broncos +2.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Broncos are an NFL-best 11-3 against the spread this season. Specific to Thursday night’s matchup, their success in road environments should bode well.

  • Denver is 6-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 as a road underdog this season
  • The Broncos ride in on a four-game winning streak, and they haven’t lost by a margin greater than this spread since Nov. 3
  • The Chargers are 0-3 ATS in home games against teams currently in the playoff field

We’ve seen slight movement against our interests to +2.5 across our best sportsbooks. But the -105 odds will provide a small SGP boost.

Bo Nix Over 220.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

This number has been ticking up throughout the morning on Thursday, but we're still eager to attack the Over on Bo Nix’s passing yards due to recent trends.

  • The Chargers rank 10th in pass defense on the season, but they've slipped to 23rd across their past three games
  • Los Angeles has been much worse against the pass at home this campaign, ranking seventh-worst in the league while allowing 237.3 passing yards per game
  • Nix has cleared this passing line in five of his past seven outings

Though the line has already increased after sitting as low as 218.5 earlier Thursday morning, we’ll still play this prop up to 229.5 passing yards.

Our Connor Cooper is also backing this pick in his Bo Nix NFL player prop odds and picks for Thursday Night Football.

Ladd McConkey Over 68.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After maintaining one of the top secondaries in the league for the early portion of the season, the Broncos have become relaxed in coverage recently.

  • Denver has allowed 150.36 yards per game to wide receivers this season (20th in NFL)
  • Over their past three contests, the Broncos rank dead-last in the NFL in opposing passing yardage, allowing 312.0 yards per outing
  • Though DraftKings lists Ladd McConkey’s receiving line higher than the rest of our best sports betting apps, he’s cleared the mark in four of his past seven games

DraftKings offers a substantial edge on the parlay odds (+525) compared to similar SGPs at Caesars (+480) and FanDuel (+459).

A winning $10 wager on this parlay through DraftKings would lead to a $52.50 profit as part of your NFL Week 16 predictions.

Thursday Night Football picks

Broncos vs. Chargers odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Thursday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Broncos vs. Chargers
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
  • How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Chargers -2.5 ()

NFL betting odds pages

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.