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Broncos vs. Raiders Picks, Predictions NFL Week 4: Las Vegas Entering Must-Win Territory

James Tillman III

Last Updated: January 1, 0001 12:00 AM EST • 2 min 17 sec read.

The Las Vegas Raiders are 0-3 for the first time in four seasons and are hoping to break into the win column against Russell Wilsons and the Denver Broncos. Here are our picks for the AFC West divisional showdown between the Broncos and Raiders. 

The Raiders have won four straight games in the AFC West series with the Broncos. That's part of the reason Denver paid the hefty price to acquire Wilson from the Seattle Seahawks this offseason.

Denver has looked far from great through three weeks but does sit at 2-1. Las Vegas is 0-3 under new head coach Josh McDaniels.

Check out all of our top NFL Week 4 picks here.

Here are our Broncos-Raiders NFL picks for Week 4 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Broncos vs. Raiders Game Info

Date: Sunday, Oct. 2, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV
Weather: Indoors

Broncos vs. Raiders Odds

Broncos vs. Raiders Odds Analysis

The Raiders continue to a favorite of bettors despite their woeful start. The spread has increased from Las Vegas -2 to -2.5 with 68% of the tickets and 76% of the handle expecting the Raiders to cover.

The Over/Under dropped from 46 to 45.5 as of Sunday morning. Fifty-six percent of the tickets and 62% of the handle are on the Under.

Broncos vs. Raiders Picks

  • Spread: Broncos +2.5 (-105 via DraftKings)
  • Over/Under: Under 45.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
  • Prop: Russell Wilson Over 240.5 passing yards (-110 via BetMGM)

Broncos vs. Raiders ATS Pick

Broncos +2.5 (-105) ★

From a desperation standpoint, the Raiders need a victory or risk dropping to 0-4, and putting themselves in a very deep hole as far as the division race is concerned. 

On the flip side of the narrative, the Broncos have been playing exceptional defense. Denver ranks fifth by Football Outsiders' overall defensive DVOA and fourth against the pass. Las Vegas is just 24th by offensive DVOA and only slightly better in the passing game at 20th.

Denver held its last two opponents to a total of 19 points. The Broncos could also finally find some offensive success against a Raiders team that has allowed at least 24 points in each of their first three games and ranks 20th by defensive DVOA.

Check out the latest comprehensive and most trusted Sportsbook Reviews by SBR.

Broncos vs. Raiders O/U Pick

Under 45.5 (-110) ★★★★

The Raiders are averaging 21.3 points per contest, while the Broncos are the second-worst scoring team in the NFL at 14.3 points per outing. That aligns with the aforementioned DVOA statistics.

With Denver relying on its defense and unlikely to break out offensively based on what we've seen thus far, the Under is the safest play with the two teams a combined 1-5 against the Over/Under entering Week 4.

Broncos vs. Raiders Prop Pick

Wilson Over 240.5 passing yards (-110) ★★

After passing for 340 yards in the season opener, Wilson’s passing totals have dipped in each of the last two games. He produced 219 and 184 yards, respectively, in Weeks 2 and 3.

However, the weakest part of the Raiders' defense thus far has been the passing game. They're 23rd by DVOA against the pass and allowed Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill to throw for 264 yards on a 70.37 completion percentage last week in Tennessee's first win of the season.

While I don’t expect Wilson to duplicate his Week 1 performance against the Seattle Seahawks, I’m predicting his total will fall between 241 and 250 yards.

Where to Bet on Broncos-Raiders Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

SEE ALSO: All picks, odds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out 520ccc.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Broncos-Raiders picks made 9/29/2022 at 11:35 p.m. ET

Written By:
James Tillman III
James is an accounting professional by day and a freelance writer at night. James has been publishing sports content for over 13 years for various outlets. The list includes FanSided, Latest Basketball News, Odds USA, Last Word on Sports, and Onlinebetting.com (OBCOM). James always researches team/player trends to ensure he’s offering his betting audience the best advice possible. Simply put, he takes his writing very seriously. He is an NBA handicapper who keeps a watchful eye on most of the sports leagues, his preferences, when it comes to betting content, pertain to the NBA and the NFL. Alongside his work for OnlineBetting.com, James has also published sports betting content with other betting sites such as ODDS USA and Eat Watch Bet. Although betting on sports is never an exact science, James always does his best to keep it simple when it comes to offering predictions on games, which in turn, inspires confidence for novice bettors.