Bo Nix MNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Browns
Last Updated: December 2, 2024 11:21 AM EST • 4 min 9 sec read.
Bo Nix gets another shot to shine on primetime as the Denver Broncos take on the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 13.
Our favorite Bo Nix Monday Night Football player prop bets and Monday Night Football odds dig into how we believe the rookie will impact the AFC clash. Kickoff is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.
Oddsmakers believe the Broncos can make it three wins in a row against Cleveland, although our Browns vs. Broncos prediction thinks the visitor can cover. Will Nix lead that charge for the hosts under the bright lights?
Bo Nix prop predictions for Monday Night Football
NFL odds as of Sunday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
- Bo Nix touchdown pick: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐
- Bo Nix Under 0.5 interceptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bo Nix Over 219.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Bo Nix touchdown pick vs. Browns
Bo Nix Pick anytime touchdown scorer (+325) ⭐⭐⭐
Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels and Justin Fields. Those are the only four quarterbacks with more rushing touchdowns than Bo Nix this season.
He’s joint-fifth among signal-callers in rushing scores with Kyler Murray and Anthony Richardson. The rookie has more rushing touchdowns than Lamar Jackson as the calendar turns into December — who would’ve thought?
Nix has found the end zone four times with his legs this year. It’s not an eye-opening number of rushing touchdowns, but it’s surely more than many.
Cleveland hasn’t surrendered a rushing touchdown to a quarterback yet this season. However, the Browns have given up the fifth-most scores on the ground in general.
Nix hasn’t scored in over a month, which has seen his anytime touchdown scorer odds skyrocket. As such, this is purely a value play.
The Broncos’ star rookie has scored a rushing touchdown in 33% of his starts this season, yet Caesars’ odds (+325) carry an implied probability of 23.53%. If Nix becomes the first quarterback to score against Cleveland with his legs, a $10 wager would return $30.25.
Philip Wood agrees with this take in his Browns vs. Broncos player prop predictions.
Best odds: +325 via Caesars | Implied probability: 23.53%
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Bo Nix player props
NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Bo Nix Under 0.5 interceptions (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
There have been many positive takeaways from Nix’s rookie season, but perhaps the most important one is that he takes care of the football. There were concerns following his first two games — in which he threw four interceptions — but he’s played relatively clean football since, with two picks in his last 10 starts.
Nix has been exceptional lately, with 12 total touchdowns to one interception over his last six games. Standing before him is a Cleveland defense that’s failed to generate many turnovers this year. The Browns are tied with the New York Jets for the second-fewest interceptions this year with two. Only the New York Giants (one) have fewer.
These factors contribute to Nix’s juiced odds for this particular prop. Despite having to wager $13 for a potential $10 return, it’s a price we feel comfortable paying, given recent trends on both sides of the aisle. This Monday Night Football play with DraftKings gets five-star confidence from us.
Best odds: -130 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 56.52%
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Bo Nix Pick Over 219.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Temperatures will be in the high 30s, there won’t be snow — falling or on the ground — and the winds are expected to hover around four miles per hour all evening. Why is Nix’s passing yards prop so low for this contest without extreme weather conditions?
Nix has thrown for 220 yards or more in four of his last five outings. The only time he failed to reach this mark during that span was against a Kansas City defense that’s historically difficult for rookies to navigate, and he got close with 215 yards. Furthermore, Cleveland has allowed opposing quarterbacks to throw for 230 yards or more in six of its last seven.
During that span, starters have averaged 253 yards per game against the Browns’ underperforming secondary. Therefore, we feel comfortable backing Nix to go over on Monday Night Football. bet365 offers this prop at standard juice, which has an implied probability of 52.38%.
His counterpart in Cleveland is poised for a busy night too according to our Jameis Winston MNF player prop bets.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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