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Bills vs. Texans Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Can Collins Continue to Dominate?

Philip Wood

Last Updated: October 5, 2024 11:00 AM EDT • 3 min 35 sec read.

Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins (12) signals as we offer our best Bills vs. Texans player prop bet odds and touchdown picks for NFL Week 5.
Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins (12) signals after a first down. Photo by Troy Taormina / Imagn Images.

The Houston Texans host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday in an NFL Week 5 battle between two 3-1 teams with playmakers galore.

Looking at the Bills vs. Texans player prop bet odds, there are a few lines out there that feel like traps for bettors.

Nico Collins is off to one of the best starts we’ve ever seen for a receiver, and yet some of our best NFL betting sites are offering his total eight yards lower than his worst performance of the season. What gives?

With Joe Mixon and Dameon Pierce looking more and more likely to miss Sunday’s game, what does that mean for Cam Akers against the Bills’ run defense?

And finally, the Texans’ pass defense can’t keep teams out of the end zone. So which receiver is scoring a touchdown for the Bills this week as part of our NFL Week 5 predictions?

Bills vs. Texans NFL player prop bets: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

  • Keon Coleman touchdown pick: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Cam Akers Over 51.5 rushing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Nico Collins Under 82.5 receiving yards (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Bills vs. Texans touchdown pick

Keon Coleman anytime touchdown scorer (+230) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Multiple Bills’ receiving options will catch touchdowns in this game. This season, the Texans have already allowed eight passing touchdowns - tied for third-most in the league. 

Coleman only has one touchdown catch this season, but he started to show his value to the Bills’ offense last week against the Baltimore Ravens, hauling in three catches and tying his season high with 51 yards.

Coleman has made some acrobatic catches in his young career, and around the goal line, he’s going to be a force - especially against a secondary that struggles in the red zone.

The prices for this prop range from +175 to +230. The price at Caesars is fantastic, and it provides enough value to take a chance on the rookie.

Best odds: +230 via Caesars | Implied probability: 30.30%

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Best Bills vs. Texans prop bets

Cam Akers Over 51.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It looks like Mixon will miss another game for the Texans. Additionally, Pierce seems unlikely to play, and even if he does step on the field, he will be used in a limited capacity. That means Akers is the No. 1 option in a phenomenal matchup.

The Bills are allowing 156.5 rushing yards per game this season - the third-worst mark in the NFL - and they're surrendering a league-worst 5.7 yards per carry.

Akers ran for 53 yards last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and he’s averaging 3.7 yards per carry. As long as the Texans don’t fall behind big in this game, he should easily top this number at bet365.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Nico Collins Under 82.5 receiving yards (+100) ⭐⭐⭐

The NFL’s leading receiver is off to an incredible start. He already has 489 yards, three 100-yard games, and 30 catches. He hasn’t gone for fewer than 86 yards in a game this season, and he’s averaging 16.3 yards per catch.

And yet, I’m taking his under this week.

The Ravens showed the league that if you want to beat the Bills, you have to run the ball successfully. They also showed that running against them isn’t hard to do.

Meanwhile, the Bills’ secondary has been good at keeping receivers in front of them all season, allowing just 7.7 yards per completion.

The highest total available is 83.5 at FanDuel. However, the price for the Under is -114. For a significantly better price, I’ll take my chances with one yard less.

Best odds: +100 via bet365 | Implied probability: 50%

Bills vs. Texans game info

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 6
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium (Houston)
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Texans -1 (-102 via FanDuel)

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.