NFL Best Bets Week 7: Rookies Continue to Shine

Just two NFL teams have a bye this week, which means we are treated to a loaded 15-game slate culminating in another Monday Night Football doubleheader.

• Oddsmakers took a hit last week, with the public teams (those receiving the majority of the bets) going 10-3-1 ATS
• Road favorites went 9-0 ATS, and how now won and covered 12 straight spanning the last two weeks
• Five of the 15 games played are between teams that are .500 or better

Our Week 7 NFL predictions include our Week 7 NFL Best Bets, which expect two rookies to stay red-hot and back the Under in a divisional game where defenses should dominate.

Best NFL bets for Week 7

NFL odds as of Friday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () vs. Panthers  ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Brock Bowers longest reception Over 20.5 yards () vs. Rams  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Titans +9.5 () vs. Bills  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Eagles-Giants Under 43.5 () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Week 7 NFL odds & schedule

(Odds via BetMGM)

• New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5), Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET
• Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons (-3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (+5.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills (-9.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants (+3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers (-2.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (-1.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts (-3.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams (-7), Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders (-8), Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers (-1.5), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5), Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET
• Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5), Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET
• Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals (-2.5), Monday at 9 p.m. ET

NFL props for Week 7

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -130 via bet365 | Implied probability: 56.52%

 Daniels is coming off a season-high in pass attempts (35) and passing yards (269) in last week’s loss to the Ravens. 

The rookie’s statistics have been as consistent as they are eye-popping, with four 20-point fantasy games this season and four straight with 19 or more. Daniels has six touchdown passes in the last four games, and Carolina’s defense is tied for the second-most touchdown passes allowed (12). 

Washington’s 137 points are its most in a four-game span since 1999, and Daniels should have no issue keeping that train rolling against the Panthers.

I fully expected the Over on Daniels’ 1.5 passing touchdowns to be juiced to more in the -160/-170 range, and at that point would have been more interested in the alternate line odds to go over 2.5 passing touchdowns. However, the -130 odds at bet365 are more than a reasonable price and worthy of a five-star play, and a winning $10 wager would pay out $17.69.

Brock Bowers longest reception Over 20.5 yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%

The Raiders finally moved on from wideout Davante Adams, which means Bowers should be the focal point of the passing game for the remainder of the season.

Bowers is the second-ranked tight end in fantasy football and has seen eight or more targets and produced double-digit-point games in point per reception leagues in four of six games.

Bowers leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. He has a great matchup against a Rams defense that allows the second-most fantasy points per game to tight ends and a 15.5 yards per catch average to the position.

That last point was the deciding factor between playing Bowers’ Over on his longest reception or his receiving yards. 

All of our top sports betting sites are juiced to -130 or higher for Bowers to go over 58.5 or 59.5 receiving yards. Thus, the better value is the -110 odds for Bowers to have at least one 21-yard catch, which he has done in four of six games this year.

NFL game predictions for Week 7

Titans +9.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

The Bills were a heavily talked-about team this week, not only because of their high-profile win on Monday Night Football with first place in the AFC East on the line but also because of their trade for former Browns wideout Amari Cooper. Thus, this set up as a perfect opportunity to fade them in what is an inflated line.

Buffalo’s wide receivers before the Cooper trade ranked 25th in targets, 26th in receptions, 26th in receiving yards, and 26th in first downs. Now it adds Cooper, who has fewer than 90 receiving yards in each game and no touchdown catches in five of six games this year.

Tennessee’s 1-4 start is its worst since 2015, but QB Josh Allen has covered the spread in just 32% of his career games (8-17-1) as a favorite of four or more points.

Given that this line has increased from +8.5 to +9.5 at most of our top sports betting sites (FanDuel remained at +8.5), I would not put anyone off waiting to see if any +10s become available. However, I am making a wager on +9.5, backed by four stars of confidence, as Tennessee is a talented team despite its record.

Eagles-Giants Under 43.5 (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -118 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.13%

The Eagles have been slow starters this year. For the first time since 1934, they have scored zero first-quarter points in the first five games of a season. Philadelphia has also gone four consecutive games with 21 or fewer points for the first time since 2020.

The Eagles got healthier with wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith both suiting up last week. But their returns were offset by new injuries to tight end Dallas Goedert and offensive tackle Jordan Mailata, PFF’s highest-graded pass blocker in the league.

New York recorded seven or more sacks in both of its wins this season and ranks in the top six in both Pass Block and Run Block Win Rates defensively. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s pass rush is also coming off its best game of the season, recording five sacks and allowing zero offensive touchdowns last week.

FanDuel is the only one of our top sports betting sites offering a total of 43.5, as all others are a half-point lower at 43. That makes the juice to -118 worth it for the higher total, as a winning $10 wager would still net $8.47 in profits.

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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