NFL Week 15 Best Bets: Predictions, Player Props & ATS Picks

All 32 NFL teams are in action as part of a loaded Week 15 slate, and we aim to improve upon our 4-0 week last week with another quartet of NFL Week 15 best bets.

• Half of the league’s division leaders (Steelers, Buccaneers, Bills, and Seahawks) are underdogs this week
• Ravens QB Lamar Jackson looks to improve to 24-2 SU against NFC opponents when facing the Giants
• Carolina is favored for the first time in two seasons (34 games) when facing the Dallas Cowboys

As part of our Week 15 NFL predictions, our NFL Week 15 best bets are centered around another five-star six-point teaser parlay, as we aim to improve to 5-0 with such bets this season.

Best NFL player props & ATS predictions for Week 15

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Calvin Ridley Over 62.5 receiving yards () vs. Bengals  ⭐⭐⭐
• Kyler Murray Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () vs. Patriots  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Panthers -2.5 () vs. Cowboys  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Six-point teaser parlay: Browns +10.5 and Vikings -1 (-134 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Week 15 NFL odds & schedule

(Odds via BetMGM)

• Kansas City Chiefs (-4) vs. Cleveland Browns (+4), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Cincinnati Bengals (-5) vs. Tennessee Titans (+5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Washington Commanders (-7.5) vs. New Orleans Saints (+7.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Baltimore Ravens (-15.5) vs. New York Giants (+15.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Dallas Cowboys (+3) vs. Carolina Panthers (-3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• New York Jets (-3.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. Houston Texans (-3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Indianapolis Colts (+4) vs. Denver Broncos (-4), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Buffalo Bills (+2.5) vs. Detroit Lions (-2.5), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• New England Patriots (+6) vs. Arizona Cardinals (-6), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-3), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Green Bay Packers (-2.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks (+2.5), Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET
• Chicago Bears (+7) vs. Minnesota Vikings (-7), Monday at 8 p.m. ET
• Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5), Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET

NFL props for Week 15

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Calvin Ridley Over 62.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Ridley is coming off a 12-target game against Jacksonville, a game in which no other Titan had more than four targets. Ridley has 20 targets over the last two games, and his 57% first-read rate was the highest in the NFL last week.

With Tennessee having a -104 point differential over its last nine games (the worst in the NFL in that span), it should be throwing plenty to keep up with the Bengals. 

Bengals signal-caller Joe Burrow is the first quarterback since Patrick Mahomes in 2018 to have four straight games of 300-plus yards and three or more touchdowns. I expect plenty of passing volume from the Titans when playing a Bengals team whose games have averaged 55.5 points.

The best price and number for this wager are found at bet365. BetMGM charges -115 in juice to back the Over of 62.5, while DraftKings’ O/U is slightly higher at 67.5. A $10 winning wager at bet365’s -110 odds would pay out $19.09.

Kyler Murray Over 1.5 passing touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

Murray has faced a gauntlet of great pass defenses of late. But this week, he gets a reprieve from a Patriots defense that has allowed 10 passing touchdowns over the last three games, including four apiece to Matthew Stafford and Tua Tagovailoa. 

The 10 passing touchdowns New England has allowed in the last four weeks is the most in the NFL, and it has only played three games because of a bye week.

The Cardinals are due for red zone regression after going 1-for-3 in the red zone last week and 18% over the last three games. 

This is a four-star play, as Murray still managed multiple passing touchdowns last week despite the red zone struggles. He should add to New England’s woes, as its defense has allowed multiple touchdown passes in five of its last six games. 

BetMGM is one of the only top sports betting sites charging less than the standard -110 juice to back the Over. By comparison, the -105 odds are a much better value than the -118 odds FanDuel offers for Murray to throw multiple touchdown passes.

NFL game predictions for Week 15

Panthers -2.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

Earlier this season, it looked like the Panthers were destined for the No. 1 pick in the draft and were ready to move on after benching QB Bryce Young. However, while the team has gone just 2-4 since re-inserting him in the starting lineup, they have looked much more competent.

With Young back under center since Week 8, he is 11th among all quarterbacks in PFF’s passing grade and was top-20 in EPA/play. 

The Panthers may not even need Young to do much in this game, as they can rely on running back Chuba Hubbard against the Cowboys’ NFL-worst defense in EPA/rush allowed.

Carolina may be on a three-game losing streak, but those losses are by 12 combined points to three division leaders. 

Bettors can back the Panthers at a field goal for as low as -105 odds at BetMGM. But it is worth paying the slight extra juice at FanDuel to have a spread at less than the key number of three.

Six-point teaser parlay: Browns +10.5 and Vikings -1 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -134 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 57.26%

Ten of Kansas City’s 12 wins have been by seven or fewer points, and only once has it won by more than 10. Thus, teasing Cleveland up to +10.5 makes a ton of sense in this matchup, especially since I called for it to pull the outright upset in my NFL upset picks.

Kansas City’s offense ranks 25th in the red zone touchdown percentage and has kicked 22 field goals (most in the league) in the red zone. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes has taken 35 sacks and now faces Cleveland’s top-ranked pass rush in terms of pressure rate.

The second leg of this teaser essentially backs Minnesota to beat Chicago outright. The Vikings are amid their longest winning streak (six games) since 2022, and face a Bears team that has averaged 15.1 points per game during a seven-game losing streak.

I am making this wager at FanDuel, as it was the only top sports betting site offering an initial spread of Cleveland +4.5 instead of +4. It also had the Vikings -7 at -102 odds, better than the -105 at BetMGM.

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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