NFL Week 14 Best Bets: Predictions, Player Props & ATS Picks

The NFL returns to a more traditional schedule in Week 14 after Thanksgiving, and we've scoured the remaining 12 games throughout the weekend to make our NFL Week 14 best bets.

• The Cleveland Browns are looking to snap a 20-game regular-season losing streak when the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers
• The Kansas City Chiefs, who sit fourth in the Super Bowl odds, have not covered any of their last six games
• Home teams and road teams have posted identical 95-95 straight up records this season entering Week 14

Best NFL player props & ATS predictions for Week 14

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () vs. Panthers  ⭐⭐⭐
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 34.5 receiving yards () vs. Giants  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Falcons-Vikings Over 45.5 () ⭐⭐⭐
• Teaser parlay: Steelers -0.5 and Seahawks +8.5 ()  ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Week 14 NFL odds & schedule

(Odds via BetMGM)

• Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) vs. Tennessee Titans (-4), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• New York Jets (+6) vs. Miami Dolphins (-6), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings (-5.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• New Orleans Saints (-4.5) vs. New York Giants (+4.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Carolina Panthers (+12.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-12.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Cleveland Browns (+6.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (-2.5), Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Buffalo Bills (-3.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams (+3.5), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Chicago Bears (+4) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-4), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• Los Angeles Chargers (+4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-4), Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET
• Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (+5.5), Monday at 8:15 p.m. E

NFL props for Week 14

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +140 via bet365 | Implied probability: 41.67%

Jalen Hurts, who's a long shot in the NFL MVP odds, leads the NFL in goal-line carries and ranks second with 12 rushing touchdowns. The Eagles know they can run the ball, but Hurts has been held to 236 or fewer passing yards in seven straight games. 

I expect Nick Sirianni will use this opportunity against a Panthers defense that allows an NFL-worst 30.5 points per game to straighten out his team's passing game.

This is a three-star play that's enticing due to the plus-money odds. Carolina ranks 30th in defensive dropback EPA, and Hurts is averaging 10.0 air yards per attempt since the Week 5 bye.

The best price for Over backers is at bet365, as BetMGM is on the opposite end of the market with +125 odds. A $10 winning wager at bet365’s +140 odds would net $14 in profit for one of your NFL Week 14 predictions.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 34.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -118 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.13%

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has logged four receiving touchdowns in four games with the Saints, and he's led all the team's wide receivers in receiving yards during three straight contests.

But instead of backing his +135 anytime touchdown odds at DraftKings, the safer play is the Over on his curiously low receiving total.

Valdes-Scantling’s O/U for receiving yards is as low as 34.5, a total he's surpassed in three straight outings.

He could cash the Over here in one play due to his home-run ability. Valdes-Scantling has registered at least one 28-plus-yard catch in three consecutive games. 

This is a four-star play, as the Giants allow the league's highest passer rating and 68% of deep passes to be completed. For context, no other team is above 46% on such passes.

The best number is at Caesars, as all the other best NFL prop betting sites have set their O/U slightly higher at 35.5.

NFL game predictions for Week 14

Falcons-Vikings Over 45.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

Kirk Cousins’ return to Minnesota for the first time after joining the Falcons highlights this game, and Atlanta is getting favorable NFL playoffs odds. Cousins in a “revenge game” coupled with the Vikings being eager to prove they made the right choice with Sam Darnold as their quarterback should lead to fireworks.

Cousins produced a 6-3 record during Weeks 1 to 9 while posting a 17-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio, recording a 60 total QBR, and he was off target on only 11% of his throws. Now he's fallen to a 0-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio, a 40 total QBR, and the veteran has been off target on 20% of his throws during his team's three-game losing streak.

I expect positive regression from Cousins, especially in the red zone, where his 97 QBR was the best in the league during the passer's successful span earlier this campaign. 

Meanwhile, Darnold should stay hot. He's tallied multiple touchdown passes in three straight games (nine games total this year), and Atlanta’s pass defense ranks in the top eight in most passing touchdowns allowed since Week 9.

There's a lot of value for Over backers at BetMGM, as this total is as high as 46.5 through FanDuel.

Six-point teaser parlay: Steelers -0.5 and Seahawks +8.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 54.55%

This is our fourth six-point teaser parlay of the season, and each of the first three cashed as five-star plays. So I'm involving another two-leg teaser to keep that streak going this week.

The Steelers lost 24-19 while visiting the Browns in Week 12, though snowy weather played a significant role.

The weather will be as nice as possible for early December in Pittsburgh on Sunday (50 degrees and mostly sunny), so I expect the Steelers to exact revenge. 

Russell Wilson has led the team to a 5-1 record in his six starts. Last week he became the first Steelers quarterback with 400-plus passing yards and three-plus touchdown passes in a game since Ben Roethlisberger in 2020. 

All we need is for the Steelers to win outright after teasing the line down. I'm also betting the NFC West-leading Seahawks up through the key number of seven ahead of a game that's also a rematch of a Week 12 clash.

Seattle has allowed 14.7 points per game during a three-game winning streak, and it's held three straight opponents to fewer than 300 total yards. Meanwhile, Arizona has scored one touchdown while losing two straight games.

There are varying levels of juice on the original spreads. In the end, DraftKings offers the best price (-120) for this six-point teaser parlay, as FanDuel’s odds are the steepest at -134.

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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