NFL Week 13 Best Bets: Predictions, Player Props & ATS Picks

With three Thanksgiving Day games in the books, we scour the remaining 13 games on the weekend slate to comprise our NFL Week 13 best bets as part of our NFL predictions.

• Three division leaders (Steelers, Cardinals, and Eagles) are underdogs this week
• Kansas City is a double-digit favorite for the second straight week
• Seven of the remaining 13 games have point spreads of 3.5 or fewer points

As part of our Week 13 NFL predictions, my NFL Week 13 best bets look to cash in our third straight five-star teaser parlay, and expect Aaron Rodgers’ struggles to continue.

Best NFL player props & ATS predictions for Week 13

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

• Tony Pollard Over 83.5 rushing + receiving yards () vs. Commanders  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Marvin Harrison Jr. Under 51.5 receiving yards () vs. Vikings ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Texans-Jaguars Over 43.5 () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Teaser parlay: Buccaneers +0.5 and Falcons +7.5 () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Week 13 NFL odds & schedule

(Odds via BetMGM)

• Las Vegas Raiders (+13.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5), Friday at 3 p.m. ET 
• Houston Texans (-4) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Tennessee Titans (+5.5) vs. Washington Commanders (-5.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Los Angeles Chargers (-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (+1), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) vs. New England Patriots (+2.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) vs. New York Jets (+1.5), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) vs. Carolina Panthers (+6), Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) vs. New Orleans Saints (+2.5), Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Philadelphia Eagles (+3) vs. Baltimore Ravens (-3), Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
• San Francisco 49ers (+7) vs. Buffalo Bills (-7), Sunday at 8:20 p.m. ET
• Cleveland Browns (+5.5) vs. Denver Broncos (-5.5), Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET

NFL props for Week 13

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Tony Pollard Over 83.5 rushing and receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -118 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.13%

Pollard has been a true workhorse running back for the Titans, as his five games with 22 or more touches are tied for the second-most of any player in the league.

He draws a favorable matchup with a Commanders defense that has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game to running backs (120.8). 

Tennessee overcame a pick-six and eight sacks to pull the upset over the Texans last week, and QB Will Levis’ development (he is coming off a season-best 65.6 QBR) should only open up things more for the Titans offense.

I am backing Pollard’s combined rushing and receiving yards total given that we are getting such a great number at Caesars, as this O/U is as high as 87.5 at some of our other best sports betting apps.

Marvin Harrison Jr. Under 51.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

Harrison Jr. has been held under this projected total in six of his last eight games. And given that his quarterback, Kyler Murray, is 0-4 in four career starts when facing the NFL’s top-ranked run defense, that does not bode well for his chances of success.

The Vikings use split safety coverage at the highest rate in the NFL. Murray is 27th in passer rating against that coverage, while Harrison Jr. has a 52% catch rate against it.

Harrison’s O/U on receptions is 3.5, so we are getting great value on this projected yardage total. The best number and price are at DraftKings, as some of our other best sportsbooks charge -114 to back the Under of 48.5 receiving yards.

NFL game predictions for Week 13

Texans-Jaguars Over 43.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

The Texans defense was absolutely gashed last week by a Titans offense that was not known for their big-play ability. 

Houston allowed five runs of 10-plus yards, four plays of 25 or more yards, two touchdowns of 30 or more yards, and was tied for their season-high in passes of 25-plus yards allowed.

Meanwhile, QB C.J. Stroud has averaged 309.7 passing yards per game and has a 2:0 TD:INT ratio in all three career starts against Jacksonville. And the Jaguars defense has allowed 150-plus rushing yards in five of the last six games.  

DraftKings has already raised its total to 44, so I am taking advantage of the total that is a half-point lower at BetMGM's standard -110 juice. A $10 winning wager would net $9.09 in profits.

Six-point teaser parlay: Buccaneers +0.5 and Falcons +7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -134 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 57.26%

I have included six-point teaser parlays in my NFL game predictions for the last two weeks as five-star plays. Not only are these plays 2-0, but each of the individual four legs would have cashed at their original numbers before altering their lines by six points.

I am teasing Tampa Bay’s line down enough to just need it to win outright against Carolina. 

The Buccaneers are coming off their third game in franchise history with four rushing touchdowns, and Baker Mayfield is one of four quarterbacks averaging multiple touchdown passes per game.

Atlanta also has a massive scheduling advantage off a bye week. It also faces a Los Angeles team that has played in primetime in back-to-back weeks (the last was on Monday night) and now flies cross-country to the 1 p.m. ET time zone.

I am making this five-star play at FanDuel, as it is the only one of our sites with the best sportsbook promos where I would avoid getting the Falcons at +7 and instead getting the hook at +7.5.

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)