Bengals vs. Steelers Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction
Last Updated: January 4, 2025 8:00 AM EST • 3 min 56 sec read.
The Cincinnati Bengals will look to keep their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers.
When making the best Bengals vs. Steelers player prop picks for Saturday’s 8:00 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC) game at Acrisure Stadium, the major question is whether the Steelers can slow down Joe Burrow.
In the first meeting between these two, Burrow threw for 309 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Russell Wilson performed even better, as he threw for 414 yards. In our Bengals vs. Steelers prediction, Gary Pearson expects Burrow to outperform Wilson, leading to the visitors, who are favored by 2.5 points, covering.
The below picks are part of our NFL Week 18 predictions.
Bengals vs. Steelers NFL player prop picks: Saturday
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- Ja’Marr Chase touchdown prediction: 2+ touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 2.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- George Pickens Over 66.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Bengals vs. Steelers touchdown prediction
Ja’Marr Chase 2+ touchdowns (+400) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +400 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 20%
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The Steelers secondary has struggled four of the last five weeks, as they’ve taken on some of the best quarterbacks in the league. While their season-long stats are solid, the last few weeks have shown that those numbers were skewed by relatively easy competition.
Earlier this year, the Steelers did a decent job of shutting down Chase, but they still allowed him to go for 86 yards and a touchdown. Though Chase only has one touchdown in his last three games, he has 16 this season and five multi-score games.
Pittsburgh's defense looks like a shell of the unit we saw for most of the season. But because they played well for most of the season, we’re still getting a solid price for the league’s best receiver to culminate with a great game in what should be a shootout.
Best Bengals vs. Steelers prop picks
Joe Burrow Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+144) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +144 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 40.98%
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Burrow has now thrown at least three touchdown passes in eight consecutive games. I don’t care who his opponent is. With numbers like that, I’m taking him to throw at least three touchdown passes again, especially when the price is this good.
The Steelers are allowing just 1.4 passing touchdowns per game this season. But over the past three weeks, they've allowed 2.7. Earlier this season, they gave up three passing touchdowns to Burrow, and with weather not expected to be much of a factor in this game, there’s no reason to think they’ll suddenly start playing better in the secondary.
BetMGM offers the worst price for the Over, as the sportsbook asks for +120. Prices range from that to the +144 at FanDuel. While these prices are worth a play, FanDuel offers the best.
George Pickens Over 66.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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George Pickens only caught three passes against the Bengals earlier this season but still managed 74 yards. After missing multiple weeks with an injury, he returned to the field on Christmas Day and had just three catches for 50 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs. He has 50 or fewer yards in two of his last three games.
But the Bengals are still allowing 230.0 passing yards per game, and Pickens remains the clear number-one target for the Steelers. He has seven games with at least 70 yards, and I fancy his chances of getting a lot of looks in a game that is likely to be high-scoring.
After all, he’s been targeted at least seven times in four of his last five. Of our best sportsbooks, bet365 offers the best price, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09.
Bengals vs. Steelers expert picks
- Bengals vs. Steelers prediction
- Joe Burrow player prop picks
- Bengals vs. Steelers player props
- Bengals vs. Steelers parlay picks
Bengals vs. Steelers game info
- When: Saturday, Jan. 4
- Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- How to watch: ESPN/ABC/ESPN+
- Weather: 17 degrees, 3% chance of precipitation, wind 15 mph W
- Favorite: Bengals -2.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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Philip Wood