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Bengals vs. Cowboys Early Picks, Predictions & Odds for MNF Week 14

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: December 2, 2024 3:40 PM EST • 3 min 6 sec read.

Dallas Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons celebrates after a sack against the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium as we offer our Bengals vs. Cowboys early picks.
Dallas Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons celebrates after a sack against the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium. Andrew Dieb via Imagn Images

Just a couple of weeks ago, the Cincinnati Bengals were a popular dark horse Super Bowl odds pick, while the Dallas Cowboys' postseason hopes had been written off.

How quickly things can change. Dallas has won two straight to move two losses behind Washington in the race for the NFC’s final wild-card spot, and Cincinnati has lost three in a row and sit three games adrift.

Cincy opened as six-point favorites for the Monday Night Football visit to Dallas (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN), and our Bengals vs. Cowboys early picks and odds back the underdog. The below picks are part of our NFL Week 14 predictions. 

My early Bengals vs. Cowboys prediction: Cowboys +6

NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Cowboys +6

Best odds: | Implied probability: 52.38%

At 4-8, Cincinnati looks like it’s already dead in the AFC playoff race, and the players know it. “We have to change a lot from this year. We haven’t been good enough,” Joe Burrow told the Associated Press after Sunday’s 44-38 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. “This team needs to learn to find a way to win,” added centre Ted Karras.

While Cincy’s team morale is rock bottom, the Cowboys’ locker room seems rejuvenated after back-to-back wins over the Washington Commanders and New York Giants.

Dallas has recorded at least four sacks in three of four games since Micah Parsons came back from injury, and the potential return of DeMarcus Lawrence can bolster that pass rush even more — bad news for a Cincy offensive line that struggles to protect Burrow at the best of times.

CeeDee Lamb’s status is Dallas’ biggest concern after the star receiver left the Cowboys’ Thanksgiving Day win with a shoulder injury. However, having 10 days between games can help the Cowboys scheme up ways to move the ball without him, and it could also buy time for Lamb’s shoulder to heal.

With or without Lamb, Dallas should still be capable of scoring points against a Cincy defense that forced just one punt last week against Pittsburgh.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on NFL or this week's best sportsbook promos.

Bengals vs. Cowboys live odds

See the NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites for every Week 14 game.

Moneyline

  • Bengals best odds: -245 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 71%
  • Cowboys best odds: +215 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 31.7%

At the time of writing, Cincinnati was the biggest road favorite in Week 14. DraftKings (-245) offered the best moneyline price on the visiting Bengals, while FanDuel (+215) was the best option for bettors looking to back Dallas to pull off the outright upset.

Spread

  • Bengals best odds: -5.5 (-105) via Caesars
  • Cowboys best odds: +6 (-110) via BetMGM

Cincinnati hasn’t closed as road chalk of six points or more since Week 3 of the 2022 season, and early indications suggest the Bengals might not be laying a touchdown in this one either.

Caesars was the first sportsbook to tip its hand towards action on the Cowboys, moving the Bengals down to -5.5 with discounted -105 juice. As of Monday afternoon, Dallas backers could still choose between taking +6 (-110) at BetMGM or +6.5 (-120) at FanDuel.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 49.5 (-105) via FanDuel
  • Under best odds: 49.5 (-110) via DraftKings

Oddsmakers set this total in the mid-40s on the look-ahead lines but were forced to re-open a few points higher after Cincinnati’s Week 13 game against Pittsburgh featured 82 points.

That wasn’t enough to discourage early money from pouring in on the Over, driving the total close to 50 by Monday afternoon. With Cincy’s last five games flying Over the total by an average of 18.4 points, don’t be surprised if this number reaches the low 50s by kickoff.

How to watch Bengals vs. Cowboys

  • When: Monday, Dec. 9
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 54 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph N
  • Favorite: Bengals -5.5 (-105 via Caesars)

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Written By:
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.