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Bears vs. Vikings MNF Prop Picks, Odds: Monday Night Football

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: December 16, 2024 2:22 PM EST • 3 min 51 sec read.

Minnesota Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson celebrates against the Chicago Bears as we offer our Bears vs. Vikings MNF prop bets.
Minnesota Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson celebrates against the Chicago Bears. Photo by Daniel Bartel via Imagn Images

The 4-9 Chicago Bears' post-Matt Eberflus era didn't start how they envisioned, getting blown out 38-13 against the San Francisco 49ers last week.

They'll look to rebound and pull off a massive upset when they face the Minnesota Vikings, who are getting the sixth-shortest Super Bowl odds entering Monday's contest at U.S. Bank Stadium (8 p.m. ET, ABC). 

The 11-2 Vikings, who came close to throwing away a 14-point fourth-quarter lead, beat the Bears 30-27 in overtime in their first meeting of the season in Chicago (Week 12).

Minnesota is the 7-point Monday Night Football odds favorite as it looks to improve to 6-2 against the spread at home, and we break down who will cover that spread in our Bears vs. Vikings prediction.

Our Bears vs. Vikings MNF prop bets are part of our NFL Week 15 predictions and feature T.J. Hockenson, Aaron Jones, and D.J. Moore. 

Bears vs. Vikings player prop picks: Monday Night Football

NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

  • T.J. Hockenson Over 42.5 yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Aaron Jones Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • D.J. Moore Over 59.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

T.J. Hockenson Over 42.5 yards (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Since returning from injury in Week 9, Hockenson has hit the Over on his prop in three of six encounters, including two of the last three. He thrived against the Bears in Chicago, catching seven passes for a season-best 114 yards.

While I can't see Hockenson roasting the Bears for another century, he has a favorable matchup against a Chicago team that allows an average of 62.2 receiving yards to tight ends, the sixth-most. Hockenson is projected to catch four passes for 47.6 receiving yards. 

FanDuel and Caesars offer the Over/Under 42.5 yards with odds of -113 and -125, respectively.

Meanwhile, BetMGM offers Over 40.5 yards at -115, while DraftKings offers 41.5 at -110. I'm taking the slightly more expensive price at the lower total, as the discrepancy in the odds isn't enough to warrant the higher total. A winning $10 bet will profit $8.70.

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Aaron Jones Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There were early concerns about Jones' health entering this one, but those have recently been put to rest. He participated fully in practice on Friday and Saturday and is good to go. With that in mind, I'm backing him to have another productive outing against a team that has a miserable time stopping him and the run. 

The Bears' defense allows the third-most yards per game to running backs (115.69) and the fourth-most yards per attempt (4.95). Jones amassed 120-plus scrimmage yards in three consecutive games against the Bears and had 106 yards on 22 carries in Chicago in Week 12. According to Next Gen Stats, he was also +23 for yards over expected. 

Plus, Bears defensive tackle Gervon Dexter Sr. has been ruled out, which should afford Jones more room and time to hit the gaps. He's projected to get 76.5 rushing yards, and a winning $10 bet will profit $8.70. 

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

D.J. Moore Over 59.5 receiving yards (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While the Bears don't have the advantage in many facets of this matchup, they do where D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen are concerned. The Vikings' secondary allows the most receptions (14.85) and yards (192.38) to wide receivers, which Moore and Allen took full advantage of in the Week 12 tilt. 

Moore had 97 yards on eight catches and was targeted 16 times in that contest. He has hit this Over in three of the last four games and should be called upon heavily in Minneapolis, especially considering the ideal indoor conditions.

Also, the Bears will probably be trailing for a large portion, forcing them to air it out more often. Of our best NFL betting sites, DraftKings offers the best price. A winning $10 bet will profit $10. 

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 50%

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Monday Night Football picks

Bears vs. Vikings odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Monday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Bears vs. Vikings
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Vikings -7 (-102 via DraftKings)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.