Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 7
Last Updated: October 16, 2024 3:25 PM EDT • 2 min 52 sec read.
My anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football look to continue our hot streak in the touchdown betting market while boosting our Broncos vs. Saints TNF prop bets.
We went 2-for-2 on Monday for a return of 9.6 units. That followed a 2-for-3 day on Sunday with hits at +210 (Keenan Allen) and +190 (Jameson Williams).
The laughably low betting total (ranging from 36.5 to 37 points) between the injury-ravaged Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints won't slow us down. Mike Spector is riding with the visitors in his , which aligns with the angle for my Broncos touchdown pick.
Elsewhere, Gary Pearson outlined why the Saints' primary ball-carrier will erupt in his Alvin Kamara TNF player prop bets, as did I in my Alvin Kamara touchdown picks.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football: Broncos vs. Saints
Broncos anytime touchdown scorer pick: Broncos defense ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: | Implied probability: 12.50%
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The Broncos are 2.5- or 3-point favorites by the Thursday Night Football odds. This 36.5- or 37-point Over/Under across our best NFL betting sites is the lowest total of the week.
This pick correlates with that projected game script and looks to take advantage of the injuries impacting New Orleans. Wide receivers Rashid Shaheed (knee) and Chris Olave (concussion) are both out Thursday. Tight end/quarterback/utility knife Taysom Hill (ribs) is doubtful.
That leaves fifth-round rookie QB Spencer Rattler with the likes of Bub Means and Mason Tipton as his top targets in his second NFL start.
While the Broncos are without linebacker Alex Singleton and top cornerback Pat Surtain II, this defense is plenty strong enough to feast on what Rattler will be desperately throwing up.
We're targeting FanDuel's +700 odds for the Broncos' defense to score over the significantly lower +425 odds from DraftKings for Denver's D/ST. We just won't cash this ticket with any kick or punt returns.
Saints anytime touchdown scorer pick: Juwan Johnson, TE ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Johnson caught all three targets he received from Rattler in last week's Saints loss. He totaled 48 yards with a long of 27.
I expect Rattler to lean into that early connection with his 6-foot-4 tight end amid all of the receiver injuries, and we'll need to see more of those big plays with New Orleans likely to struggle to move the ball all night.
I'm taking Johnson over Foster Moreau, as Johnson has dominated the snap share between the two over the last three weeks.
The best odds we're offered are the +500 from Caesars. A winning $10 bet would return a profit of $50, an extra $10 vs. the same wager placed on BetMGM's +400 odds.
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Esten McLaren