Alvin Kamara TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Last Updated: October 17, 2024 11:38 AM EDT • 4 min 11 sec read.
I hope Alvin Kamara logged a good night's sleep on Wednesday, because all the energy he can muster will be required against the Denver Broncos on Thursday Night Football.
Due to a rash of injuries on offense and four straight defeats, the New Orleans Saints enter the game as the Thursday Night Football odds underdogs.
After a pair of comparatively unproductive weeks, Kamara must be more influential for the Saints to hold any chance of ending their skid:
- Kamara is averaging 17 carries and 71.3 rushing yards per game, and 4.12 yards per attempt
- Kamara has averaged 33 rushing yards, 12 attempts, and 2.75 yards per carry over the team's last two contests
- He's averaging six targets, 4.67 receptions, and 40 receiving yards per game
While neither team is among the Super Bowl odds favorites, both need a win to improve playoff chances.
The Alvin Kamara TNF player prop bets are part of our Thursday coverage, which includes our , Broncos vs. Saints player props, and anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Alvin Kamara prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Alvin Kamara touchdown pick: Anytime TD () ⭐⭐⭐
- Alvin Kamara Over 16.5 carries (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 receptions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Alvin Kamara touchdown pick vs. Broncos
Alvin Kamara anytime touchdown (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
Kamara started the season white hot, scoring four touchdowns in the first two games. However, three of those scores came against the Dallas Cowboys, who field one of the most disappointing defenses.
Like someone who has spent too long at an all-you-can-eat buffet, his pace has since slowed.
Kamara has just tallied touchdowns in his last four games, including one against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 6. But fear not, as Kamara will almost assuredly receive an increased workload due to the rash of offensive injuries for New Orleans.
Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed are both out of tonight's contest, leaving ;Spencer Rattler with a cupboard that's nearly bare.
While Kamara will undoubtedly be the Saints' primary red-zone target, the question is how many times the home team will be in a position to score. With the contest expected to be as low-scoring as a soccer game (OK, it won't be that bad), Kamara will need to make good on the rare occasion the Saints get into scoring position.
FanDuel is featuring the best price on this prop, and a winning $10 bet will lead to a $9.52 profit.
Esten McLaren is being even more aggressive in his Alvin Kamara touchdown picks while taking the tailback to notch two scores.
Best odds: -105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.22%
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Alvin Kamara player props
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Alvin Kamara Over 16.5 carries (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It's been three weeks since Kamara recorded at least 17 carries. But this is a prime spot for Kamara to carry a heavy load. Rattler is playing in his second game after throwing two picks in his debut. And he's without Shaheed and Olave, two of his top receiving options.
I wouldn't be surprised if head coach Dennis Allen wrote "game plan" and Kamara's name on the whiteboard in practice this week and left it at that.
And then there's the fact that New Orleans is playing Denver, a team with an offense that struggles to score. The Saints shouldn't be faced with needing to mount a significant comeback, allowing their offense to pound the ground throughout. Kamara has hit this Over three times in six games thus far.
All of our best sports betting apps offer 16.5 carries, with FanDuel's -108 being the best price. A winning $10 bet will yield a profit of $9.26 as part of your NFL Week 7 predictions.
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.92%
Alvin Kamara Over 4.5 receptions (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kamara has snagged at least five receptions in four of six games, including the last three.
He reeled in five catches during Rattler's Week 6 debut and has averaged six in the previous three games. Rattler is getting few first-choice downfield targets at his disposal, and injuries have also been decimating the Saints' offensive line.
Four starting offensive linemen are out, while another, Lucas Patrick, is questionable. New Orleans will also be without two offensive tackles (Justin Herron and Ryan Ramczyk).
I'm guessing Rattler will need to get the ball out of his hands faster than a piping hot pan fresh off the stove. Kamara is the likely beneficiary. BetMGM offers the best price on this prop, which pays an $8 profit on a winning $10 bet.
Best odds: -125 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 55.56%
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Broncos vs. Saints odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Broncos vs. Saints
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Saints -2.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
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Gary Pearson