Aaron Rodgers Retirement Odds 2025: Will Rodgers Call it Quits This Offseason?

It has not been a stellar week, season, or tenure for Aaron Rodgers as the starting quarterback for the New York Jets.

After being limited to just one game – and one pass attempt – in his first season with the Jets last year due to injury, Rodgers was being counted on to bounce back this season and get the team into playoff contention. Instead, they’ll finish with an even worse record in 2024 than they did in 2023.

And that has led to many of the best sportsbooks speculating on whether the future Hall of Fame quarterback will just pack it in and announce his retirement by the time the league’s free agency period begins next year (March 12). Here's a look at the latest odds:

Will Aaron Rodgers retire by free agency 2025?

(Odds updated Dec. 31 at 10 a.m. ET.)

Rodgers has led Jets to a worse record than 2023

After Rodgers went down with an injury in Week 1 of the 2023 season, the Jets were largely written off as playoff contenders – but they did show some life at times to finish with a 7-10 record. That gave their fans some reason for optimism heading into the 2024 campaign, with Rodgers having returned to health and motivated to show he could still play in the league even at 40 years old. New York lost 32-19 to the Niners in Week 1, then produced two straight wins over the Titans and the Patriots. 

Unfortunately, though, that was the Jets’ high-water mark for 2024. New York would then face tougher competition in piling up five straight losses to the Broncos, Vikings, Bills, Steelers, and Patriots, somehow beat the Texans, then lose six of its next seven games to sit at 4-12 heading into Week 18. The Jets had even tried to stop the bleeding early in the season, dispatching head coach Robert Saleh after the team’s Week 5 loss to the Vikings and replacing him with defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich.

As you can see, it did not help.

Week 17 matchup was ugly for Rodgers and Jets

And Rodgers and the Jets fell to 4-12 this past week by getting blasted 40-14 on the road by the Buffalo Bills, who had only led 12-0 at halftime but ran roughshod over their division rival in the second half. Rodgers completed 12 of his 18 pass attempts in the contest for just 112 yards, with no touchdowns and two interceptions. Jets backup Tyrod Taylor then did the mop-up work to finish out the contest and threw for 83 yards and a pair of scores (with no interceptions) to keep the team from getting shut out.

On the season Rodgers has thrown for 3,623 yards with 24 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, putting him just outside the Top 10 in the NFL in the passing yards and passing touchdowns categories. His completion percentage of 63%, however, has him ranked 27th in the league, and his passer rating of 89.1 has him ranked 20th. In Rodgers’ final season in Green Bay in 2022 he posted a passer rating of 91.1, and his career passer rating is 102.6. Rodgers has also failed to rush for a touchdown through 16 games.

Will Rodgers end his NFL career – or continue it?

It seems unlikely that the Jets will want Rodgers back in 2025, considering the current state of turmoil in which the franchise finds itself. Rodgers is signed for 2025 () but as we well know NFL teams can make players go away even if they’re under contract – it’s just a matter of money and future cap management. So the Jets and Rodgers will probably split up during the league offseason.

But there are still 31 other teams in the NFL, with some of them receiving worse quarterback play than what Rodgers has given the Jets during the 2024 season. Rodgers did turn 41 this past December, but Tom Brady didn’t retire until he was 45 years old. So Rodgers catching on with another team is plausible.

The question, then, is does Rodgers want to continue his NFL career in 2025? He’s won both the Super Bowl and the Super Bowl MVP award, he’s won the NFL MVP award four times, he’s been named to the Pro Bowl 10 times, and he certainly has earned enough money in his career to live a lavish retirement.  Plus we know Rodgers has many interests outside of football, some of them .

Still, Rodgers tossing the towel on his career – especially by March 12 – doesn’t seem to be in line with the personality of a player we know is driven to prove people wrong. We’re leaning towards Rodgers trying for at least one more go-around to see if he can write a better final chapter for his NFL career.

My Pick: No (-230)