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Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds vs. Vikings

Philip Wood

Last Updated: October 5, 2024 3:21 PM EDT • 4 min 1 sec read.

New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers warms up before a game as we look at our Aaron Rodgers player prop bets.
New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers warms up before a game. Photo by Brad Penner/Imagn Images.

Aaron Rodgers looks to get his New York Jets back over .500 against the Minnesota Vikings. The Jets come into the game sitting ninth in the Super Bowl odds, with Rodgers the front-runner in the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds.

The Vikings may be 4-0, but I believe the best Aaron Rodgers player prop bets for Sunday’s game in London are Overs. Though the Jets' offense was stagnant in Week 4 against the Denver Broncos, Rodgers threw for 225 yards. It was his second straight 200-plus-yard game. 

The Vikings keep winning, so no one is looking at their blemishes. However, they enter Week 5 allowing the most passing yards per game this season. After a massive win over the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field and with their bye week on the horizon, they could be in for a letdown game.

Aaron Rodgers prop bets Week 5

  • Aaron Rodgers touchdown pick: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Aaron Rodgers Over 225.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Aaron Rodgers Over 21.5 completions () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL odds as of Saturday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Aaron Rodgers touchdown pick vs. Vikings

Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+136) ⭐⭐⭐

Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in two of his four games this season. Last week was his first contest without a touchdown toss this year, but it was a tough matchup in the rain.

The Vikings are allowing 1.5 touchdown passes per game this season. Jordan Love threw for four against them last week. While three of those came in the fourth quarter when the Vikings were leading significantly, it still showed that this defense can be beaten through the air.

Getting this Over for +136 provides excellent value. There's so much more for the Jets to play for on Sunday, and this is a good matchup for Rodgers despite how effective the Vikings’ defense may seem on paper.

Rod Villagomez thinks one of Rodgers' touchdown tosses could go to his tight end Tyler Conklin in his Jets vs. Vikings player prop bets.

Best odds: +136 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 42.37%

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Aaron Rodgers NFL player props

NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Aaron Rodgers Over 225.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The only thing stopping this from being a five-star play is that the game is being played in London.

The Vikings are incredibly tough to run against, allowing just 75.0 yards per game. Therefore, any offensive success for the Jets will fall squarely on Rodgers' shoulders.

The Vikings have allowed two of the four quarterbacks they’ve faced this season to throw for 300 yards against them. Three of their four opponents have thrown for 215. Rodgers has combined for more than 500 yards in his last two games, and one of those outings came against the Broncos’ third-ranked pass defense.

The total is the same everywhere, but bet365 is offering the best price. Caesars is asking -120 for the Over. Whether the Jets win this game or lose, Rodgers will do plenty of damage through the air.

However, Mike Spector doesn't think Rodgers will record a really deep ball as part of his Jets vs. Vikings prediction.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Aaron Rodgers Over 21.5 completions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The value for this low number is so good that I feel like I’m missing something.

The Vikings are allowing 27.5 completions per game. Once again, that’s the worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, Rodgers has completed at least 24 passes in each of his last two contests.

Rodgers completed fewer than 20 passes in his first two games, but now everything is running through him for the Jets' offense. So why would that stop being the case in a great matchup?

The price is the same at BetMGM, DraftKings, and . Caesars is setting the price at -112, so get in at one of the best sportsbooks with +100 before this number goes up.

Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50.00%

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Jets vs. Vikings odds

Jets vs. Vikings game info

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 6
  • Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. ET
  • Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
  • How to watch: NFL Network
  • Weather: 59 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, 10 mph wind S
  • Favorite: Vikings -2.5 (-108 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.