UConn vs. Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Preview Today: Best Picks for Feb. 6

Coming off a tough stretch of five losses in its last eight games, Tennessee (16-5) will face a UConn (21-2) program with championship aspirations tonight at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Food City Center in Knoxville, Tenn.

Despite Paige Bueckers slipping down the women's Wooden Award odds, our UConn vs. Tennessee prediction expects her to carry the Huskies to a big road win.

UConn vs. Tennessee predictions today

College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites.

• Against the spread pick: UConn -7.5 () vs. Tennessee ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• My best pick: Under 152.5 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

UConn vs. Tennessee ATS prediction

UConn to cover the spread: -7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Kim Caldwell era in Knoxville got off to a hot start, with the former Marshall head coach leading the Volunteers to 13 straight wins to start the season. But then SEC play began, and Tennessee's season has fallen apart. It has gone 3-5 since Jan. 5, including four losses to top-10 opponents.

While the Vols get a break from conference play, it's not much of one with the No. 5 Huskies coming to town. UConn is on an 11-game winning streak and has won every game by 11-plus points while leaning on a lineup that includes Bueckers, the likely No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA Draft.

Behind Bueckers' facilitating and efficient shooting, UConn is No. 1 in the country in offensive rating. The Huskies should give plenty of problems to a Vols defense that's just 112th in defensive rating and 349th in field goal percentage allowed (44.7%).

While Tennessee's offense is among the best in the country, UConn's defense is dominant, allowing the second-fewest PPG in the nation (52.0). If Geno Auriemma's team can cover, a $10 bet pays a $9.09 profit at our best sports betting sites.

Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%

Best UConn vs. Tennessee pick

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Under 152.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Huskies' defense is suffocating opponents this season and has given up more than 68 points just twice this year. It sits No. 4 in defensive rating and hasn't allowed more than 61 points during its 11-game winning streak.

Even though the Vols are known for their offense, scoring against UConn is as tough as it gets. In the Huskies' four games against top-20 opponents this season, the game total has yet to eclipse 152.5, and the average has been 137.2 points.

The Huskies allow the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the country (35.6%) and rank 27th in steals per game (11.2), which should be an issue for a Vols team that's 298th in turnovers per game (14.2).

Best odds: -105 via Caesars | Implied probability: 51.22%

Live UConn vs. Tennessee odds

See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.

UConn vs. Tennessee opening odds

• Spread: UConn -7.5 (-110) | Tennessee +7.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: Over 152.5 (-115) | Under 152.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: UConn -357 | Tennessee +275

UConn vs. Tennessee game info

• When: Thursday, Feb. 6
• Tipoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Food City Center (Knoxville, Tenn.)
• How to watch: ESPN
• Favorite: UConn -7.5 (-110 via Caesars)

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