Mcb777 BetUAB vs. San Diego State Prediction & March Madness Odds: Will Aztecs Make Enough Shots?

The No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs are the clear favorites against the No. 12 UAB Blazers on Friday in the opening round of East Region play in the NCAA Tournament, as we offer our UAB vs. San Diego State prediction based on the best March Madness odds.

San Diego State reached the finals of the 2023 NCAA Tournament as a No.5 seed and finds itself in familiar territory heading into the 2024 chapter of March Madness. Our best sports betting sites have SDSU set as favorites against the UAB Blazers, with things set to get underway at 1:45 p.m. ET on TNT.

Based on advanced metrics, SDSU is one of the 11 teams that will win the NCAA Tournament, but the Aztecs struggle with their offense, ranking as one of the weakest in the field. UAB and its defensive strategy could disrupt their offensive flow in the opening round.

As part of our March Madness predictions, here is our best UAB vs. San Diego State prediction and college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

UAB vs. San Diego State odds

UAB (12) vs. San Diego State (5) prediction: East Region

San Diego State Under 73.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds:

This is a tricky game to handicap, as the line has moved in favor of UAB even with calling for a 9-point win for San Diego State. I just simply don't trust the Aztecs' offense in a critical spot on Friday.

To be clear, UAB is not a good defensive team, ranking outside of the top 200 in adjusted efficiency. The Blazers don't force turnovers and allow far too many open shots along the perimeter. That can serve as a double-edged sword, though, if opponents are baited into shooting threes without the requisite shooters to capitalize.

Fittingly, San Diego State is one of the worst shooting teams in the country, ranking 307th nationally in 3-point percentage (31.3%) with the second-worst mark of any tournament team. The Aztecs are built to score inside, but they could run into issues against NBA hopeful Yaxel Lendeborg (6-foot-9, 230 pounds), who ranks in the top 30 nationally in blocks per game (2.1) and top 15 in defensive rebound rate (27.7%).

With San Diego State featuring one of the slowest tempos in the country, this team total feels a tick too high - especially if the Aztecs run cold from deep.

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UAB vs. San Diego State best odds

FanDuel (-114)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Under 72.5	Under 73.5	Under 73.5	Under 73.5	Under 73.5
-110		-125	-115	-125

All five of our best sports betting sites are offering a team total for San Diego State, and four of them are dealing that total as high as 73.5. But only one is offering that wager at -114 or better, which is why we'd recommend betting it at .

With such a small gap between that price and the one at , for example, I'd highly recommend checking out our March Madness betting promos to get the most of our wager for this game and any other contest during the NCAA Tournament.

UAB vs. San Diego State spread & Over/Under analysis

This game has seen among the most dramatic line movement of any first-round contest, with San Diego State briefly opening as a 10.5-point favorite before settling between -7 and -7.5 across our best sportsbooks.

The total has also been on the move, touching as low as 133.5 before moving all the way up to 139.5 at as of Tuesday evening. That number could keep rising in a game projected to reach 143 combined points, per KenPom.

UAB vs. San Diego State game info

When: Friday, March 22
Tip-off: 1:45 p.m. ET
Where: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena, Spokane, Wash.
How to watch: TNT

UAB-San Diego State prediction made Tuesday at 7:15 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart

C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.