Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds: NBA Cup

The best game of the NBA Cup quarterfinals could be the last when the Houston Rockets (16-8) host the Golden State Warriors (14-9) at 9:30 p.m. ET tonight from Toyota Center.

The Rockets sit fourth in the NBA Cup odds, with the Warriors right behind in fifth. Golden State also ranks seventh in the NBA championship odds.

The Rockets are 1.5-point favorites at home for this showdown on TNT, marking the smallest spread of the four matchups. The Warriors certainly boast the pedigree to bank on during a single-elimination contest.

Let's dive into our Warriors vs. Rockets NBA player prop picks to go along with our Hawks vs. Knicks NBA player prop picks. The clash also features Zaccharie Risacher, who's a long shot in the NBA rookie of the year odds.

Warriors vs. Rockets player prop picks today

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.

• Draymond Green Over 5.5 assists () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Draymond Green Over 13.5 points and assists () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jabari Smith Jr. Under 12.5 points () ⭐⭐⭐

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Warriors vs. Rockets prop predictions

Draymond Green prop pick: Over 5.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +102 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 49.5%

Golden State forward Draymond Green has recorded six-plus assists in six straight games. He’s averaging 6.8 dimes on 11.5 potential assists and 53.3 passes made over that span.

The Rockets are a formidable defensive team. But this line is a touch low since the Warriors run many sets through Green. I also anticipate that head coach Steve Kerr will tighten the rotation, meaning Green should play more than 30 minutes.

I project 6.2 assists for Green tonight, creating a significant edge tied to this plus-money price at FanDuel.

Draymond Green prop pick: Over 13.5 points + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

Now that I’ve explained why I like Green as a facilitator in tonight’s game, let’s double down on his offensive impact and bet on the veteran's points and assists prop.

Green, who's third in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds, has reached double figures in three of his past four games, averaging eight shot attempts per outing over that span. Green’s points prop (7.5) is worth a look, but I prefer targeting this combo prop due to my edge in both markets.

I’d bet on this Over at -120 or better via our best sportsbooks.

Jabari Smith Jr. prop pick: Under 12.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -121 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.75%

Rockets forward Jabari Smith Jr. scored 13 points on 4-of-9 shooting during Sunday’s win over the Los Angeles Clippers. That performance came after he notched a combined 11 points in his team's previous two matchups, including a five-point effort against the Warriors last Thursday.

Smith averages 11.5 points on 9.4 attempts in 30 minutes per game this season. I’d be surprised if he even reaches that volume during a game when the Warriors will be locked in defensively.

I project Smith to finish closer to his season average, indicating value on this Under.

Warriors vs. Rockets live odds & info

• When: Wednesday, Dec. 11
• Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center (Houston)
• How to watch: TNT
• Favorite: Rockets -1.5 (-115)

Warriors vs. Rockets injuries

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