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Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic checks the scoreboard against the Portland Trail Blazers, and we offer our best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prediction for Christmas Day.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic checks the scoreboard against the Portland Trail Blazers. Photo by Jerome Miron via Imagn Images.

We've got a Western Conference Finals rematch set for Christmas Day as the Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Dallas Mavericks looking to snap a three-game skid.

Our Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props look at two tasty lines for Dallas’ dynamic duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving.

We also expect Anthony Edwards to deliver a strong scoring performance when the Timberwolves and Mavericks tip off at 2:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) from American Airlines Center in Dallas.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player prop picks Christmas Day

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.

  • Luka Doncic double-double () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Anthony Edwards Over 24.5 points () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Kyrie Irving Over 19.5 points () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop predictions

Luka Doncic double-double ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Doncic returned from a two-game absence on Monday and posted a 27/7/7 line. That performance snapped a streak of six double-doubles, but we’re expecting him to start a new streak on Christmas Day against Minnesota.

The superstar has posted a double-double in 10 of 21 games this season, and he narrowly missed one on Oct. 29 when he went for 24/8/8 against these Timberwolves. Doncic faced Minnesota seven times last season and double-doubled four times, including two of four at home.

Dallas’ franchise point guard can stuff the stat sheet with the best of them, and he can get a double-double with points and rebounds or points and assists. This season, he’s got four double-doubles with points and rebounds, three with points and assists, and three triple-doubles. 

Anthony Edwards Over 24.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Edwards is averaging 25.3 points per game this season, so an average performance will cash the Over against Dallas.

We expect Ant-Man to be far better than average in a matchup against Doncic and a Mavs team that knocked him out of the Western Conference Finals last season.

Edwards has hit the Over on this line in 15 of 28 games, good for 53.5% of his appearances. The -115 odds on this prop are right in line with how he’s performed this season as a whole, but Edwards has hit the Over in 10 of 14 on the road, good for 71.4%.

He delivered 37 points in his previous matchup with Dallas this season, and he averaged 24.6 against the Mavs in nine matchups last season. Edwards hit the Over in five of nine last season, including three of four at Dallas. 

The Wolves have lost three straight, and Edwards should be even more amped to delivered a big performance, especially against this team in a prime-time Christmas matchup. This is an easy Over.

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Kyrie Irving Over 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.56%

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Irving returned from a one-game absence on Saturday and finished with just 15 points on 6-of-25 shooting. He bounced back nicely on Monday, delivering 20 points on an efficient 7-of-14 effort.

Irving’s points line is mispriced for this matchup, as he’s gone for at least 20 points in 18 of 26 appearances this season. That’s good for 69% of his games, yet we can get this prop at -125, making it an excellent value.

Irving had one of his best scoring performances of the season when he went for 35 against the Wolves when the teams met in October. He averaged 28.3 points in six games against Minnesota last season and scored at least 20 points in five of them. 

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks live odds & info

  • When: Wednesday, Dec. 25
  • Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
  • How to watch: ABC/ESPN
  • Favorite: Mavericks -5.5 (-108 via FanDuel)

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks injuries

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