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Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard gestures as we make our best Spurs vs. Bucks NBA player prop picks.
Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard gestures in the third quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Fiserv Forum. Photo by Benny Sieu / Imagn Images.

Two teams struggling to break away from the middle of the pack in the NBA standings clash on Wednesday as the Milwaukee Bucks host the San Antonio Spurs.

I make my best Spurs vs. Bucks NBA player prop picks to ensure you're covered when the action gets underway at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee at 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Despite losing two of their last three, the Bucks are favored by 5.5.

How will Damian Lillard shoot against one of the better 3-point shooting defenses in the league? And will Victor Wembanyama and Chris Paul keep up their excellent play to start the new year?

If you're looking for some action earlier in the evening, my Thunder vs. Cavaliers NBA player prop picks are exactly what you're seeking.

Spurs vs. Bucks player prop picks today

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.

  • Damian Lillard Under 3.5 three-pointers made () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Chris Paul Under 7.5 assists () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 36.5 points + rebounds () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Spurs vs. Bucks player prop predictions

Damian Lillard Under 3.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This total is set right at Lillard’s season average, as the Bucks’ second-leading scorer averages 3.4 treys per game. Because of that, deciding whether to take the Over or Under comes down to the matchup and how Lillard has been playing.

While Lillard made five 3-pointers against the Toronto Raptors on Monday, the Raptors are also allowing the fifth-most 3-pointers per game.

Before that performance, Lillard made fewer than four threes in three of four contests. And tonight’s matchup isn’t easy, as the Spurs are allowing the eighth-fewest threes in the league. When it comes to opponent 3-point percentage, the Spurs rank sixth.

In a tough matchup, it’s remarkable to see the price for the Under so favorable. While DraftKings and FanDuel are asking -104 or worse, some of our other best sports betting apps have the price set at +108 or better, but no one tops the +120 from bet365.

Best odds: +120 via bet365 | Implied probability: 45.45%

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Chris Paul Under 7.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Paul has three consecutive games with at least eight assists, as he’s started off January averaging 9.3 assists per game. Yet despite his hot start to the year, and the fact that he’s averaging 8.4 assists per game this season, I’m taking his Under.

Paul’s most recent three performances came against the two worst teams in the league at preventing assists. He’ll face a much tougher challenge tonight, as the Bucks rank sixth in the NBA in assists allowed per game.

While Paul has conquered tough matchups this season, the Bucks are allowing the eighth-fewest points per game, so he’ll simply have fewer opportunities.

Most of our best sportsbooks have this total set at 7.5, while FanDuel is at 8.5. While FanDuel’s number is higher, the price for the Under is -150, which is way too expensive for one extra assist.

Best odds: +108 via Caesars | Implied probability: 48.08%

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Victor Wembanyama Over 36.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wembanyama has been absolutely incredible on the glass since the new year began. He’s averaging 18.3 rebounds per game, and he has at least 14 in all three of his January contests. His total for tonight is set at 11.5, and while that may seem like an obvious Over, the Bucks are a decent rebounding team.

While I still expect Wembanyama to record double-digit rebounds, I’m going to play it a little safe and back this combo prop rather than his rebound total. Wembanyama is averaging 25.6 points per game, and he’s scored at least 20 in five consecutive. During that stretch, he’s topped 36.5 points + rebounds four times.

FanDuel is offering this total with a price of -120 for the Over. While that price is worse than the -110 being offered by bet365 and BetMGM for 37.5, the extra price is worth it to get one number lower.

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

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Spurs vs. Bucks injuries

Spurs vs. Bucks live odds & info

  • When: Wednesday, Jan. 8
  • Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Fisver Forum (Milwaukee)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Bucks -5.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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