Germany vs. Serbia Prediction, Odds, Picks: Who Will Win Men's Olympic Basketball Bronze Medal?

Germany and Serbia both blew double-digit leads to squander their Olympic men's basketball odds and a chance at the gold medal. They'll meet Saturday at 5 a.m. ET in the bronze medal game as we offer our Germany vs. Serbia prediction, odds, and expert picks.

Serbia is favored between 1.5 and 2.5 points across our best sports betting sites behind superstar Nikola Jokic, who enters next season as the NBA MVP odds favorite. He's featured in our best predictions for Saturday's bronze medal game at Paris 2024.

Germany vs. Serbia predictions for Saturday's bronze medal game

Germany vs. Serbia odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

• Over 170.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Neither team to win every quarter (-134) ⭐⭐⭐
• Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Prediction: Over 170.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Figuring out which of these teams will win Saturday's bronze medal game, after each let the chance at a gold medal slip through their fingers, feels more like an exercise in sports psychology than X's and O's.

I do expect this one to be a barn-burner after what we've seen from both teams to this point. Serbia has scored at least 90 points in four straight games while allowing 90-plus in back-to-back games, while Germany's offense has been efficient even with lower-tempo games skewing their totals.

Neither team is replete with elite defenders, and both like to move the rock to get their perimeter players involved from deep or slashing to the hoop. That should spell an entertaining third-place game before Saturday's gold medal matinee.

Odds: -108 | Implied probability: 51.92%

Prediction: Neither team to win every quarter ⭐⭐⭐

Both of these teams held a double-digit lead early in their respective semifinal games. Neither could hold on in the second half, as the USA and France promptly erased those early deficits to reach the gold medal game.

I'd be shocked if either team ran away with it here. Both of these teams have produced major runs of their own, most notably Serbia's epic 24-point comeback against Australia before its own meltdown against the Americans.

These -134 odds are a little steeper than most wagers, but a $10 bet still returns $7.46 in profit and features a 57.26% implied probability. I see this game as having a better shot than that of being a see-saw affair.

Odds: -134 | Implied probability: 57.26%

Prediction: Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐

The greatest passer of this generation has been determined to get his teammates involved since this tournament advanced out of the group stage.

He finished with nine assists in the semifinals against Australia and tallied 11 dimes against the Americans on Thursday. It helps that he sat for a combined three minutes in those two contests - a necessity given how badly Serbia's bench has been outplayed at times in this tournament.

I'd expect Jokic to see another massive workload on Saturday, and Serbia's offense should once again run through the all-time great with a medal on the line.

Odds: -110 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Germany vs. Serbia odds & game info

• When: Saturday, Aug. 10
• Tip-off: 5 a.m. ET
• Where: AccorHotels Arena (Paris)
• How to watch: Peacock (streaming)
• Favorite: Serbia -1.5 (-110)

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