Machibet LoginFrance vs. Germany Prediction, Odds, Picks

France power forward Victor Wembanyama (32) celebrates as we offer our best France vs. Germany prediction and expert picks for Friday's Olympic men's basketball matchup at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in the Paris 2024 Olympics. — France power forward Victor Wembanyama (32) celebrates after defeating Japan in the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Photo by John David Mercer / USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

France and Germany have both started 2-0 in the Olympic men's basketball tournament to qualify for the quarterfinals. The winner of Friday's matchup at 3 p.m. ET will also secure the top seed in Group B as we offer our France vs. Germany prediction and expert picks.

Germany is favored by 3.5 points across our best sports betting sites, which also have Friday's favorites dealing slightly ahead of host France by the men's Olympic basketball odds to win the entire tournament.

France vs. Germany predictions for Friday

France vs. Germany odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

France +4.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 blocks (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Prediction: France +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If you're beholden to the transitive property, surely you like Germany's chances after it blew out a Japan team that took France to overtime.

It's never that simple, though, and I haven't forgotten that the French entered this tournament with much shorter odds than the Germans. I also have more faith in Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert in a one-game setting than I do in Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder, respectively.

While most shops have Germany as a 3.5-point favorite, you can grab France +4.5 if you shop around across our best sportsbooks, which makes this bet that much sweeter.

Odds: -110 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Prediction: Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 blocks ⭐⭐⭐

Wembanyama hasn't been as active defensively as we've come to expect from the 7-4 superstar. But I'm still intrigued by the plus-money price on a reasonable total.

The French phenom blocked two shots against Japan after finishing with three blocks in the opener against Brazil. That would suggest he'd be dealing around even money to clear 2.5 blocks, though he's instead catching +120 odds to block three shots, which would pay out $12 in profit on a $10 wager.

I'd suspect the elevated competition and high stakes will only bring out the best in the young star, especially with so many active perimeter scorers for Germany likely trying to test the defensive stud on the condensed court at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Odds: +120 | Implied probability: 52.38%

France vs. Germany odds & game info

	France	Germany
Moneyline	+145	-170
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-110)
Over/Under	Over 162.5 (-110)	Under 162.5 (-110)

When: Friday, Aug. 2
Tip-off: 3 p.m. ET
Where: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille, France)
How to watch: Peacock (streaming)
Favorite: Germany -3.5 (-110)

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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart

C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.