2024 WNBA Championship Odds: Liberty, Aces Favorites Entering Playoffs; Caitlin Clark a Finals MVP Long Shot

The WNBA postseason begins Sunday, and the latest WNBA championship odds look an awful lot like how they did when the season started in May.

The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces remain the favorites across our best sports betting sites, dealing ahead of the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun. Those four teams will host the first two games of Round 1 as part of the eight-team postseason field.

Meanwhile, Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever have the fifth-best WNBA odds (+3000) to win it all, which implies a 3.23% probability of a title run. Clark has already wrapped up Rookie of the Year honors, while A'ja Wilson has effectively done the same in the MVP race.

Here is a look at the latest betting odds and history for the WNBA championship, WNBA Finals MVP, and series odds ahead of the WNBA playoffs:

2024 WNBA championship odds

(WNBA championship odds from our best sports betting apps | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

• The top-seeded Liberty (+145) enter Sunday's first round as favorites after dealing at the shortest odds for most of the season
• The Aces (+260) opened the year as consensus favorites but will have to win this year as a No. 4 seed
• Don't sleep on the Fever (+3000), who were once left for dead but have been one of the WNBA's best teams since the Olympic break

WNBA championship favorites

New York Liberty (+145)

After losing to the Aces in last year's WNBA Finals, the Liberty came out with a vengeance this year, winning 21 of their first 25 games and finishing with the league's best record (32-8) to secure the No. 1 seed.

That sets up a Round 1 matchup with the Atlanta Dream - the biggest long shots by far - and a potential second-round rematch with Las Vegas with home-court advantage favoring New York. That could prove decisive, especially if the Liberty's star trio plays to its capability after last year's title loss.

These short odds via DraftKings would net a $14.50 profit on a $10 wager if the Liberty complete their first-ever championship run.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 40.82%

Las Vegas Aces (+260)

The Aces entered the season as nearly even-money favorites to win a third consecutive title, but an uneven regular season for the two-time reigning champs led to a No. 4 four seed and a potential date with New York in Round 2.

Las Vegas will first have to get past the Seattle Storm, who entered the year as title contenders before injuries and a post-Olympic swoon held them back.

Is this when we finally see the switch flip for Becky Hammon's group? If so, a $10 bet at these +260 odds at Caesars would return a $26 profit in October.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 27.78%

Minnesota Lynx (+350)

The Lynx were 50/1 long shots before the season opener, but they quickly asserted themselves as one of the best (and deepest) teams in the league.

With Napheesa Collier leading the way, Minnesota features five players scoring at least 9.6 PPG with an elite defense inside. That's a deadly combo heading into its first-round matchup with the guard-heavy Phoenix Mercury.

There isn't a ton of upside left at these +350 odds at FanDuel, but they'd still pay a $35 profit on a $10 wager if the Lynx finish the job in the postseason.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 22.22%

Indiana Fever title odds

+3000 via BetMGM

You don't have to go back all that far to a time when the Fever were dealing as 100/1 long shots across our best sportsbooks, which had effectively written off Indiana after pricing it among the contenders entering the year.

Then Clark and Co. ripped off a 16-9 run over 25 games to clinch the No. 6 seed before mailing it in Thursday against the Washington Mystics.

That sets up a first-round showdown with the Sun, who beat Indiana three straight times before the Fever punched back with an 84-80 win on Aug. 28. If they somehow win this series, their title price will be slashed in a hurry.

Until then, a $10 bet at these +3000 odds would return a net profit of $300.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 3.23%

2024 WNBA championship odds over time

(Odds via DraftKings)

Full list of all-time WNBA champions (1997-2023)

WNBA championships by team

2024 WNBA Finals MVP odds

(WNBA MVP odds from our best sportsbooks | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

• After falling short last year, Breanna Stewart (+360) is the favorite to lead her team to its first-ever WNBA championship and take home Finals MVP honors
• A'ja Wilson (+380), who won this award last year, is nipping at her heels even with the Aces lagging behind in the title market
• Two other Liberty stars, Sabrina Ionescu (+700) and Jonquel Jones (+1800), are trading in the top five

WNBA Finals MVP favorites

Breanna Stewart (+360)

Stewart has already won this award twice in her WNBA career, though both came with the Storm (2018, 2020) before she signed with the Liberty.

Now she has a chance to win this illustrious award with two different teams, and she'd be my bet with all being equal given how dominant New York has looked throughout the regular season.

There's some risk that this award gets poached by one of her All-Star teammates, but there's still value at these +360 odds, which would pay out $36 in profit for every $10 wagered.

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 21.74%

A'ja Wilson (+380)

Wilson won this award last year in the second of Las Vegas' back-to-back title runs, and she's the outright favorite at BetMGM with odds as short as +225, implying better than a 30% chance of a repeat performance.

The better bet is at DraftKings, where a $10 wager would return $38 in profit if she caps off a historic campaign with her second such trophy in two seasons.

She also closed as the runaway favorite to win regular-season MVP, so it'd only be fitting for her to double down with another trophy in October. The only problem is her team faces a tougher path to a third title with New York dealing as the favorite.

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 20.83%

Napheesa Collier (+450)

It's a little surprising to see Collier dealing at such short odds given the immense talent up and down Minnesota's roster.

If the Lynx do pull off the surprising run to a title, though, you have to imagine Collier will be at the center of it all after leading her team in scoring (20.4 PPG), rebounding (9.7 RPG), and steals (1.9 SPG) and ranking second in assists (3.4 APG) and blocks (1.4 BPG).

She's been one of the unsung stars of this WNBA season, and it'd be a storybook ending for her to upend Stewart and Wilson to win this award. If she does, a $10 bet at these +450 odds would return $45 in profit.

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 18.18%

Caitlin Clark WNBA Finals MVP odds

+3500 via DraftKings

When it looked like the Fever's season might be slipping away, Clark stepped up midway through the year and blossomed into one of the best playmakers in the WNBA.

She made a late run at the WNBA MVP award, which will almost certainly go to Wilson, but she's dealing as a compelling long shot in this market after Indiana secured a top-six seed in the postseason.

These odds are slightly longer than Indiana's title odds (+3000), and I'd slightly prefer this bet with a $10 bet returning a potential profit of $350.

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 2.78%

WNBA playoffs series odds

WNBA series odds via bet365 entering the first round.

New York Liberty (1) vs. Atlanta Dream (8)

Minnesota Lynx (2) vs. Phoenix Mercury (7)

Connecticut Sun (3) vs. Indiana Fever (6)

Las Vegas Aces (4) vs. Seattle Storm (5)

2024 WNBA MVP odds

(WNBA MVP odds as of Aug. 23)

Wilson was dealing as the prohibitive favorite a month before the season ended and closed as the runaway front-runner to win her third MVP award.

She set the single-season records for points (1,021) and rebounds (451) and had the highest per-game scoring average (26.9 PPG) in WNBA history. The only knock against her is team success, though the Aces still 27-13 and secured a top-four seed.

WNBA MVP opening odds

Odds as of March 4, 2024

Past WNBA MVP winners (since 2014)

2024 WNBA Rookie of the Year odds

(WNBA Rookie of the Year odds as of Aug. 23)

This was a compelling race earlier in the year, when Clark was struggling and Reese was in the midst of a historic double-double streak.

Then Clark accelerated her growth as a scorer and facilitator, setting the single-game WNBA assists record (19) while averaging 19.2 points and 8.4 assists overall. She also helped lead the Fever to their first postseason berth since 2016.

That'll almost certainly be enough to outlast Reese (13.6 PPG, 13.1 RPG), who produced one of the best rebounding seasons of all time but shot 39.1% from the field and also missed six games with injury.

Past WNBA Rookie of the Year winners (since 2014)

How to read WNBA odds

When looking at WNBA title odds, it's important to note that the team that is "most likely" to win will have the shortest odds, i.e., the smaller number attached to their name.

For example, the Las Vegas Aces entered the season as an overwhelming favorite with odds between -105 and +110. Those -105 odds imply a 51.22% probability Las Vegas wins it all, but the +110 odds are a better value, with a $10 bet leading to a $9.09 profit.

The longer the odds are, the bigger the profit they'll return if the bet hits. For example, the Indiana Fever entered the year with +2500 odds, so a $10 bet on Indiana to win the championship would result in a $250 profit if Caitlin Clark leads the Fever to the title.

While most books use American odds (like we have), some prefer decimal odds. In that case, you can use our odds converter to see them in the American style.

WNBA betting FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the WNBA championship?

The New York Liberty are the favorites to win the 2024 WNBA championship with odds as short as +120. Those odds imply a 45.45% probability that the Liberty will win their first title in six tries, according to our odds converter.

Who is the favorite to win WNBA Finals MVP?

Liberty star Breanna Stewart is the favorite to win WNBA Finals MVP with odds as short as +360, implying a 21.74% chance that she wins the award for a third time.

What are Caitlin Clark's WNBA Finals MVP odds?

Caitlin Clark is dealing between +1600 and +3500 to win WNBA Finals MVP in her rookie season. Those +1600 odds represent a 5.88% implied probability, while the +3500 odds would pay out $350 in profit on a $10 wager.

Has a rookie ever won WNBA MVP?

Candace Parker is the only player to have won WNBA MVP as a rookie, doing so in 2008 for the Los Angeles Sparks.

Who won the WNBA championship last year?

The Las Vegas Aces defeated the New York Liberty to win their second consecutive WNBA title. The Aces won two of the first three games in the best-of-five series before taking Game 4 by one point over the Liberty.

When do the WNBA playoffs start?

The regular season ended on Thursday, Sept. 19, while the playoffs begin Sunday, Sept. 22 and will conclude no later than Sunday, Oct. 20.

Where will the WNBA Finals take place?

The WNBA Finals will take place at the home arenas of the two participating teams. The higher (better) seed will host Games 1 and 2, while the lower-seeded teams will host Games 3 and 4. If a decisive fifth game is necessary, the higher-seeded team would host.

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