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Democratic Presidential Odds 2028: Newsom, Shapiro Expected to be Among Favorites

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: November 20, 2024 2:49 PM EST • 2 min 3 sec read.

The Democrats have begun the process of picking up the pieces after a resounding election defeat. Kamala Harris was losing ground in the presidential election betting odds heading into Election Day, and that slide continued throughout the night.

The result was a crushing loss, with Harris falling 312-226 in the electoral college. Donald Trump easily took the popular vote too, earning 50% with Harris back at 48.3%. Republicans now hold significant power while controlling the presidency, House, and Senate.

However, the majorities the party earned in all three are slim, and the ruling party always faces the more difficult task of proving itself and/or fulfilling campaign promises. Although soul searching is needed among the Democrats, opportunities could await.

The party went through a historically unique run-up to the 2024 election, with no primary to determine the leader after Joe Biden stepped down. That won't be the case prior to the 2028 election, and our  best political betting sites (outside the U.S.) will post odds on who will be the eventual nominee.

Democratic presidential odds 2028

Our best Ontario sports betting sites aren't featuring odds yet for the party's nominee, and that likely won't happen for a while.

However, several of the top political betting sites in Canada are offering early odds for who will win the presidency in 2028. There are clear differences between that market and the Democratic nominee prices that will eventually emerge, as in the latter there's a focus on only one party.

Nonetheless, the U.S. presidential election odds from and offer an early gauge, with Democratic California governor Gavin Newsom unsurprisingly among the front-runners. Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro, who was strongly considered to be Harris' running mate in 2024, also ranks high.

United States presidential election 2028 odds

(Presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada. U.S. residents interested in betting on the election can visit the social sportsbook , which is available in most U.S. states)

Candidatebet365DraftKings
JD Vance
Gavin Newsom+600+600
Ron DeSantis+800+800
Michelle Obama+900+800
Josh Shapiro+1400+900
Gretchen Whitmer+1400+1400
Tucker Carlson+1400+1400
Pete Buttigieg+1600+1600
Vivek Ramaswamy+1600+1600
Tulsi Gabbard+2000+2000

Democratic presidential odds 2028 FAQ

Who is favored to win the Democratic nomination?

There are no odds posted yet from our best Ontario sports betting apps. However, Gavin Newsom sits second (+600, 14.29% implied probability) in the overall U.S. presidential election betting odds for 2028, with Josh Shapiro not far behind.

Who was the last Democratic nominee?

Kamala Harris took over for Joe Biden ahead of the 2024 election. She lost to Donald Trump.

When is the Democratic National Convention?

There is no date set yet for the 2028 Democratic National Convention. The last two events have been held in mid-August of the election year.

When will the 2028 presidential election be decided?

The next day Americans will go to the polls to vote for a president is Nov. 7, 2028.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2028 United States presidential election extensively.

2028 presidential election betting odds pages

Here are our best political betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.