Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for NLCS Game 2
Last Updated: October 14, 2024 9:06 AM EDT • 3 min 30 sec read.
After yet another postseason shutout victory in Game 1, the Los Angeles Dodgers can take a commanding 2-0 NLCS lead against the New York Mets this afternoon.
- The Dodgers have won three straight postseason games via shutout
- Jack Flaherty became the first Dodgers starting pitcher to throw more than six innings in a postseason start since Max Scherzer in 2021
- Los Angeles is the favorite to win the World Series based on our World Series odds after winning Game 1
Our Mets vs. Dodgers prediction expects New York to ride its most consistent pitcher to a Game 2 victory.
Mets vs. Dodgers predictions: Game 2
- Moneyline pick: Mets () ⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs () ⭐⭐⭐
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Who will win Mets vs. Dodgers?
First pitch: 4:08 p.m. ET, Dodger Stadium
Mets to win (+125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +125 via bet365 | Implied probability: 44.44%
If New York is going to make a long series out of this NLCS, it figures to have to win the games that Sean Manaea is starting. The Mets are 16-4 in Manaea’s last 20 starts, and the way he neutralizes left-handed hitters gives the road underdogs a great chance to pull the upset.
Shohei Ohtani - the World Series MVP odds favorite - entered the series with a .867 OPS against southpaws compared to a 1.128 OPS against right-handed pitchers. Max Muncy and Gavin Lux batted .172 and .152 against lefties, respectively, while Freddie Freeman’s average against southpaws was 50 points lower than against righties.
The Dodgers are the third team with three consecutive shutouts in postseason history, and their 33 consecutive scoreless innings streak ties an all-time playoff record. However, Los Angeles did come into Game 1 with a 6.86 ERA from its starting pitchers in the postseason, while Mets starting pitchers had a 2.43 ERA, and New York’s offense averaged 5.4 runs per game.
Oddsmakers seem to think that runs will be scored in this game, as the O/U is high at 8.5 runs. The Mets have all of their best bullpen arms available as they saved their most high-leverage arms in yesterday’s blowout and can shorten the game with a potential six-out save from closer Edwin Diaz.
I look for New York to jump out to an early lead and nail down the victory late. Even if that is not the script, the Mets can rely on an MLB-best 45 comeback wins this season, and a 4-1 postseason record when the opponent scores first.
Our best sports betting apps have New York’s moneyline odds as short as +120, so I am headed to bet365, where a winning $10 wager on the underdogs would net $12.50 in profits.
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My Mets vs. Dodgers best bet
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Prediction: Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs ⭐⭐⭐
Ohtani does not hit for the same power against lefties (.518 slugging) as he does against righties (.717 slugging). However, he has been a machine with runners in scoring position of late, so there is no way he should have a less than one-in-three chance based on implied probability to drive in a run.
Ohtani is 4-for-5 with runners in scoring position this postseason and has 16 hits in his last 19 such at-bats, with six home runs and 24 RBIs. He is vital to the team’s success, as the Dodgers improved to 76-44 (including the postseason) when he records at least one hit, and is 26-22 in games where he goes hitless.
There is a big 15-cent gap between DraftKings’ +205 odds and the +190 found at Caesars. Thus, I am making my $10 wager for Ohtani to record an RBI at DraftKings in the hopes of returning a payout of $30.50.
Best odds: +205 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 32.79%
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Mets vs. Dodgers odds & Game 2 info
- When: Monday, Oct. 14
- First pitch: 4:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
- How to watch: FOX/FS1
- Favorite: Dodgers (-145 via BetMGM)
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Mike Spector