Texas vs. Michigan Player Props, Odds

The marquee matchup of our Week 2 college football predictions is Saturday’s showdown between the Texas Longhorns and Michigan Wolverines.

No. 10 Michigan won the national championship after finishing undefeated in 2023, but it's a touchdown underdog at home against No. 3 Texas, which sits fourth in the college football championship odds. The lookahead market at the best sports betting sites put this spread as low as 3.5 over the summer.

Has the market been overreacting after one week of play in 2024? In addition to our Texas vs. Michigan prediction, our Texas vs. Michigan player props will help to answer that question.

We also featured this marquee matchup in our Week 2 college football expert picks.

Texas vs. Michigan college football player props: Saturday

Odds as of Thursday and subject to change

• Semaj Morgan Under 31.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jaydon Blue Under 15.5 rushing attempts () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Bert Auburn Over 1.5 field goals (+155 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change.

Semaj Morgan Under 31.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

There's at least one way the market didn’t overreact to Week 1.

Michigan receiver Semaj Morgan’s yardage prop is trading at 31.5 yards after he posted just two catches for eight yards. Morgan could be the team’s top receiver, so our best sportsbooks believe the opener was just an example of the Wolverines not showing too much.

But Michigan is facing a real quarterback problem after losing J.J. McCarthy, and I’m not convinced this is the matchup for an explosive playmaker like Morgan to get loose. 

With a projection of 15 yards, there's solid value on this Under at Caesars, especially with the rest of the market as low as 27.5.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.49%

Jaydon Blue Under 15.5 rushing attempts (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jonathan Brooks dominated the backfield touches as Texas’ workhorse back last campaign. I’m not convinced Jaydon Blue will shoulder as much of the workload this year, even if the running back room is banged up.

Blue recorded 11 of the team’s 41 rushing attempts in last week’s 52-0 win over Colorado State. Even if we assume that was more about the game being a blowout, I think Quintrevion Wisner will eat into Blue’s potential workload.

Our best sports betting apps don’t offer markets for Wisner, but I prefer to fade Blue’s odds this week anyway. Texas likely won’t choose to run too much into Michigan’s defensive front, which held Fresno State to -0.41 EPA per rush last weekend.

There could be multiple ways to get this bet to the window on Saturday.

Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.49%

Bert Auburn Over 1.5 field goals (+155) ⭐⭐⭐

To give readers a sense of how I see this game playing out, I’m betting the Under on two offensive props and the Over on a field goals made prop. The total has dropped from 44.5 to 42.5, which suggests a defensive battle.

This prop exemplifies why college football bettors need to hold an ESPN BET account this year. That shop offers exclusive prop markets, including longest plays and kicking-related betting odds.

From a kicking standpoint, I prefer to bet on the Texas kicker in a game with the visiting team as the touchdown favorite. Bert Auburn netted multiple field goals in eight contests last year for the Longhorns, converting 28-of-34 attempts on the season.

The Longhorns might enjoy more success sustaining drives on Saturday, but the Wolverines boast a formidable red-zone defense. If that happens, I like our chances of netting a $15.50 profit on a $10 bet with this wager.

Best odds: +155 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 39.22%

Texas vs. Michigan odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Texas vs. Michigan game info

• When: Saturday, Sept. 7
• Kickoff: Noon ET
• Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
• How to watch: Fox Sports
• Weather: 55 degrees, 14% chance of precipitation, 13-mph winds
• Favorite: Texas -7.5 ()

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