South Florida vs. San Jose State Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: Hawaii Bowl

The Hawaii Bowl has the stage to itself on Christmas Eve as South Florida and San Jose State celebrate the holidays from Honolulu.

Our South Florida vs. San Jose State player prop picks highlight multiple individuals who could impact the outcome of the 2024 Hawaii Bowl. Kickoff is slated for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN) from the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in the Hawaiian capital.

The best college football betting sites list the Spartans as 3-point favorites. Can San Jose State cover and secure its first eight-win season in over a decade? Our South Florida vs. San Jose State prediction dives into that important question.

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds. 

South Florida vs. San Jose State college football player prop picks: Hawaii Bowl

College football picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

• Nay'Quan Wright touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Walker Eget prop pick: Under 312.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐
• Justin Lockhart prop pick: Over 92.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

South Florida vs. San Jose State touchdown prediction

Nay'Quan Wright anytime touchdown scorer ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +130 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 43.48%

South Florida has opted for a run-heavy approach this year, with three players racking up 400-plus yards and seven or more touchdowns on the season. Kelley Joiner, the main back of the three, has juiced odds to score in the Hawaii Bowl. Thus, we'll turn to the equally in-form Nay'Quan Wright for this play.

Wright has the second-most rushing touchdowns in the Bulls' ranks with seven, including five in the last five games. San Jose State has surrendered at least one score on the ground in every game this season. Only Wyoming failed to tally a rushing touchdown against the Spartans' middle-of-the-pack rush defense.

FanDuel has the best odds on Wright as an anytime touchdown scorer (+130). These odds carry a 43.48% implied probability and a $10 winning wager would profit $13.

Best South Florida vs. San Jose State prop picks

Walker Eget Under 312.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

We're zigging while the public is zagging with this play.

San Jose State's Walker Eget is a popular pick to surpass his yardage total in the Hawaii Bowl. He's not only been a yardage machine this season (2,224 passing yards in seven starts), but South Florida also has the 127th-ranked pass defense in the FBS.

The Bulls give up an average of 278.7 yards per game through the air. Eget has gone over this total at a 57.14% clip in his starts. However, we're fading him because for as bad as South Florida has been, it has only allowed four opponents to go Over 312.5 passing yards in 12 games.

Eget's 57.4% completion percentage is worrying, especially considering Biletnikoff Award finalist Nick Nash won't suit up for the Spartans. The quarterback's 4-for-22 outing against UNLV in the team's penultimate regular-season game should give Over bettors a reason to worry about such a large total.

Some of the best sports betting apps list Eget's passing total at 303.5, whereas the O/U at others is a significantly higher 312.5. We're choosing to play the latter at bet365, despite the slight juice (-115).

Justin Lockhart Over 92.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

As the receiving triple-crown winner, Nash was at the forefront of wide receiver discussions in college football this year. However, teammate Justin Lockhart - San Jose State's No. 2 wideout - has also enjoyed a sensational season. The senior looks poised to surpass the 1,000-yard mark in this contest.

Lockhart has gone Over 92.5 yards in four of his last five games, despite playing with Nash in those contests. Further, South Florida has allowed opponents' leading receivers to reach this total at a 60% rate over the last 10 games.

The college football odds expect a shootout in Honolulu with a game total of 63.5 points. Lockhart will play an important role in helping San Jose State get there as he looks to finish the season on a high note as the team's No. 1 target.

Hawaii Bowl live odds & game info

• When: Tuesday, Dec. 24
• Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu)
• How to watch: ESPN
• Weather: 84 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph ENE

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