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Oklahoma vs. Navy Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: Armed Forces Bowl

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 26, 2024 10:20 AM EST • 3 min 21 sec read.

Navy Midshipmen quarterback Blake Horvath carries the ball against the Army Black Knights as we look at our Oklahoma vs. Navy player prop picks.
Navy Midshipmen quarterback Blake Horvath carries the ball against the Army Black Knights. Photo by Danny Wild/Imagn Images.

The Oklahoma Sooners take on the Navy Midshipmen in the Armed Forces Bowl on Friday.

I make the best Oklahoma vs. Navy player prop picks as the Sooners look to pull off a victory despite the transfer portal depleting the team. Almost every key player for the Midshipmen is playing, but they’re still 3-point underdogs in Friday’s noon ET game (ESPN) from Fort Worth, Texas.

Who will step up for the Sooners with major offensive weapons such as quarterback Jackson Arnold and running back Jovantae Barnes missing this contest? And how will the Midshipmen play against a thin defense?

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds.

Oklahoma vs. Navy college football player prop picks: Armed Forces Bowl

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

  • Blake Horvath touchdown prediction: Over 1.5 touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Michael Hawkins Jr. prop pick: Over 35.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Eli Heidenreich prop pick: Over 23.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Oklahoma vs. Navy touchdown prediction

Blake Horvath Over 1.5 touchdowns ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +300 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 25.00%

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Most of the primary scorers for the Sooners are out for this game, so the best bet is to take a Midshipmen player to score. Rather than backing Horvath to score just one touchdown, I’m taking him to tally at least two, which he’s done four times this season. 

The Sooners are missing at least 11 defensive players for this clash, and their defensive line and linebacking corps will be much thinner than during the season. Horvath and a Midshipmen rushing attack that averaged 249.0 yards per game this year will greatly benefit.

The Sooners produced one of the best run defenses in the nation. But they won’t be themselves on Friday with so many players out. You could consider taking Horvath to score just one touchdown, as he’s done in eight games this year.

However, the price for that prop is very steep. So for one of my college bowl game predictions this week I’ll take my chances on him scoring twice against a team that's a shell of what it was earlier this year.

Best Oklahoma vs. Navy prop picks

Michael Hawkins Jr. Over 35.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Hawkins will start at quarterback on Friday, and he's logged some experience entering the game. He started for the Sooners against the Auburn Tigers and went 10-of-15 passing for 161 yards. While he has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game this year, Hawkins has been enjoying running success.

He ran 14 times for 69 yards against the Tigers. Hawkins managed just 27 yards later in the season against the Texas Longhorns, but he did run 20 times. In every game when he’s thrown at least 15 passes Hawkins has also run 12-plus times.

The Midshipmen allowed 160.2 rushing yards per game this season, which ranked 80th in the nation. They also give up 4.3 yards per attempt. Hawkins should be able to crush this total if he runs at least 12 times again.

Eli Heidenreich Over 23.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

It’s been an inconsistent campaign for Heidenreich. He ran for over 80 yards three times, but Heidenreich also logged fewer than 10 yards in five games. However, he did go over 23.5 rushing yards in six of his 12 contests.

Heidenreich doesn’t need many carries to hit this total. He registered 41-plus yards in five of six games when finishing with at least six carries. There should be plenty of room for him to maneuver and hit this very low number against an opt-out decimated defense.

Armed Forces Bowl live odds & game info

  • When: Friday, Dec. 27, 2024
  • Kickoff: Noon ET
  • Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 71 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph SW
  • Favorite: Oklahoma -3 ()

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.