Ohio State vs. Texas Parlay Picks & Predictions: CFP Cotton Bowl SGP Odds
Last Updated: January 10, 2025 1:00 PM EST • 3 min 10 sec read.
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns battle in the CFP Semifinal Cotton Bowl on Friday.
While the Longhorns have struggled to reach this point, the Buckeyes have steamrolled their opponents in the playoffs. How will those results impact my best Ohio State vs. Texas parlay picks for tonight’s Cotton Bowl?
The Buckeyes are 6-point favorites at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, when the action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
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Ohio State vs. Texas parlay predictions: CFP Cotton Bowl
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites.
- Ohio State Over 30.5 points (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Will Howard 275+ passing yards (+165) ⭐⭐⭐
- Quintrevion Wisner 21+ receiving yards (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: | Implied probability: 16.67%
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SGP predictions for Ohio State vs. Texas
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Ohio State Over 30.5 points (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Buckeyes are the sixth-highest-scoring team in the nation, averaging 36.4 points per game. They’ve scored at least 31 points in five of their last six games, and there is no doubt that they’ve put the 10-point performance against the Michigan Wolverines behind them. They’ve scored 83 points in the College Football Playoff thus far, topping 40 in both games.
While the Longhorns’ defense ranks third in the nation in points allowed per game, they’ve struggled against playoff teams. They allowed 31 points to the Arizona State Sun Devils in the quarterfinals, and in their first game, they needed a goal-line stand to prevent the Clemson Tigers from hitting 30.
Will Howard 275+ passing yards (+165) ⭐⭐⭐
Since his disastrous performance against Michigan, Howard has been phenomenal. He’s thrown for 630 yards in the postseason, topping 310 yards in both games. While the Longhorns rank fourth in pass defense, the Oregon Ducks finished the year ranked 20th, and the Tennessee Volunteers finished 27th, so this isn’t a massive jump in competition.
As good as the Longhorns’ pass defense has been this season, it's struggled in the playoffs. Texas allowed Cade Klubnik to throw for 336 yards and, in its last game, allowed Sam Leavitt to throw for 222.
This is a three-star play instead of four because the Buckeyes could run away with this game. If that’s the case, then Howard may not throw much in the second half.
But he's continued to throw in the Buckeyes’ previous two blowout victories, and at this price, adds a lot of value to the parlay.
Quintrevion Wisner 21+ receiving yards (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Wisner is the Longhorns’ leading rusher, but I worry for him in tonight’s matchup. The Buckeyes have the fourth-ranked rush defense in football, and if they get out to a huge lead, they could take Wisner out of the game completely. After all, they held Oregon running back Jordan James to just 14 yards in the Rose Bowl.
Yet, even if Wisner struggles, the Longhorns will still find a way to get him the ball. He averaged just 2.5 yards per carry in the Rose Bowl, but he also had four catches for 40 yards. In the SEC Championship, he averaged just 2.7 yards per carry but caught three passes for 15 yards.
When the rushing attack isn’t working, the Longhorns look to get Wisner involved in other ways. And since the rushing attack won’t work tonight, and the Longhorns are expected to be trailing, I expect plenty of designed screens to get Wisner involved.
Ohio State vs. Texas live odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Cotton Bowl game info
- When: Friday, Jan. 10
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Ohio State -6 (-110 via DraftKings)
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Philip Wood