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Notre Dame vs. Penn State Parlay Picks & Predictions: CFP Orange Bowl SGP Odds

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: January 9, 2025 12:57 PM EST • 2 min 64 sec read.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Riley Leonard runs the ball against the Southern California Trojans as we look at our Notre Dame vs. Penn State parlay picks.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Riley Leonard runs the ball against the Southern California Trojans. Photo by Gary A. Vasquez/Imagn Images.

There's a razor-thin margin between Notre Dame and Penn State, two of the teams that are at the doorstep of the College Football Playoff National Championship Game.

Our Notre Dame vs. Penn State parlay picks for the CFP Orange Bowl look for the Fighting Irish to maintain their recent dominance while getting more than usual from Riley Leonard through the air.

Notre Dame (-1) and Penn State face off in the CFP Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds.     

Notre Dame vs. Penn State parlay predictions: CFP Orange Bowl

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites.

  • Notre Dame -1.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jadarian Price Under 48.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Riley Leonard Over 164.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds:  | Implied probability: 14.81%

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SGP predictions for Notre Dame vs. Penn State

Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Notre Dame -1.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While Penn State boasts the most dynamic offense the Irish will have seen to this point in the playoffs, the matchup should also serve as a wake-up call for the Nittany Lions after easing into the CFP with SMU and Boise State.

Notre Dame, which sits third in the college football championship odds, is 11-2-1 against the spread this season, and this line sits below a field-goal margin. Following the early-season hiccup against Northern Illinois, nine straight double-digit wins have positioned the Irish as one of the nation's most dominant teams.

Though some of our best sportsbooks list the line at Notre Dame -1, we’ll play this parlay at FanDuel due to superior parlay odds.

Jadarian Price Under 48.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jadarian Price led Notre Dame's backfield in carries during the win over Georgia, but virtually all of Price’s opportunities in that Sugar Bowl came after Jeremiyah Love aggravated his knee injury. Marcus Freeman has indicated that Love will be “good to go” Thursday.

Penn State allows just 101.3 rushing yards per game (eighth in the FBS). Price has fallen short of this rushing total eight times this season, including in consecutive CFP contests despite drawing 10-plus carries in those outings.

Pairing a Notre Dame player prop Under with the Notre Dame spread boosts our SGP odds due to the contrarian angle. DraftKings and BetMGM don’t offer the Under on Price’s rushing yards, solidifying FanDuel as the place to submit this SGP.

Riley Leonard Over 164.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Riley Leonard threw for just 90 yards during the Sugar Bowl and has cleared this line only six times on the season.

Still, the Irish should lean on their quarterback to make enough throws to put this prop in play against a Penn State defense that's been friendlier against the pass than the run.

The Nittany Lions have permitted 260.7 passing yards per game across their three postseason matchups, allowing all three opposing quarterbacks to sail past 164.5 yards. FanDuel offers +575 odds on the SGP.

A winning $10 wager on this parlay at FanDuel would lead to a profit of $57.50 as part of your college football playoff semifinal predictions.

Notre Dame vs. Penn State live odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

CFP Orange Bowl game info

  • When: Thursday, Jan. 9
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 55 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 8-mph N
  • Favorite: Notre Dame -1 ()

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.