Machibet LiveNebraska vs. Michigan Picks, Predictions College Football Week 11: Wolverines Enter as Huge Favorites

Will the Nebraska Cornhuskers be able to do enough to cover more than four touchdowns against the College Football Playoff-hopeful Michigan Wolverines? Find out with our Nebraska-Michigan picks and predictions.

The Wolverines have been favorites of 20 or more in six of their nine games this season, but they have covered in only three of those contests. They're favored by 29.5 points over the Cornhuskers, who have covered the spread just three times all season.

For its part, Nebraska has been a double-digit underdog three times this season, and it's covered twice.

Here are our top picks for the college football Week 11 game between Nebraska and Michigan (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our college football Week 11 roundup, games to watch, and best against-the-spread picks.

Nebraska vs. Michigan Game Info

Date: Saturday, Nov. 12, 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Weather: 23 degrees, 49% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds

Nebraska vs. Michigan Odds

Nebraska vs. Michigan Odds Analysis

The Wolverines opened as 29.5-point favorites and that is exactly where the line has stayed. On Pregame.com, 61% of the cash and 76% of tickets are backing the Wolverines to cover.

The total opened at 52.5 and has dropped all the way to 49 at some sportsbooks. There are wintry conditions expected in Michigan, with snowfall a possibility during the game.

Nebraska vs. Michigan Picks

Nebraska vs. Michigan ATS Pick

Michigan -29.5 (-110) ★★★

The Wolverines are 5-3-1 against the spread this season. Even when they don’t cover, they are very close to doing so. They missed covering against Indiana by just 2.5 points and missed covering against Hawaii by 7.5 points, despite being favored by 53.5.

Additionally, the Wolverines are averaging 30.1 more points per game than their opponents, and they have won just one game this season by less than 13 points.

The Cornhuskers have given up just 46 points in their last two games, but they have only managed to score 22. They don’t have an offensive or defensive identity which is going to allow the Wolverines to use their rushing and passing attack to put plenty of points on the board, while the defense does enough to keep them ahead by a lot.

Nebraska vs. Michigan O/U Pick

Over 49.5 (-105) ★★

This is a really tough line. Michigan could hit this total alone, or the Wolverines could score 35 points and hold the Cornhuskers to just 10. The Over has only hit in two Wolverines’ games this season, and in both of those games, their opponents scored 17 points.

The Over has hit in just three Cornhuskers’ games this season. In each of those games, Nebraska scored at least 28 points. Though it is unlikely that the Cornhuskers come anywhere near that total this week, the Wolverines have the ability to put up 49 points by themselves.

They have scored 40 or more points in five games this season, and their lowest total on the season was 27 at Iowa. The Cornhuskers’ defense has been tough in recent weeks, but when they play good offenses such as Purdue and Oklahoma, they give up a lot of points.

Nebraska vs. Michigan Prop Pick

Michigan Over 39.5 (-110) ★★★

The Cornhuskers have given up 40-plus points three times this season. As stated, the Wolverines have scored 40 or more in five games.

The Wolverines have struggled by their standards to put up big point totals against solid defenses. However, the Cornhuskers’ defense is far from that. It's allowing 441 yards and 29.4 points per game.

The weather could prevent the Wolverines from scoring 40, but if it’s just flurries, Michigan’s offense is going to be impossible for Nebraska to stop.

Where to Bet on Nebraska-Michigan Picks

Nebraska-Michigan picks made 11/08/2022 at 5:16 p.m. ET

Written By:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.