College Football Expert Picks Week 13: Saturday's Best CFB Bets
Last Updated: November 22, 2024 12:00 PM EST • 5 min 17 sec read.
With just two weeks left until conference championships, our Week 13 college football expert picks focus on the most important games on the penultimate Saturday of the regular season.
- In the most important game of Week 13, college football championship odds favorite Ohio State takes on playoff-hopeful Indiana
- Kansas looks to thwart Colorado and Heisman Trophy odds favorite Travis Hunter's College Football Playoff chances
- With both Army and Notre Dame's College Football Playoff odds hinging on a win, the two face off at Yankee Stadium
Our experts make their favorite bets for the biggest games this Saturday as part of our Week 13 college football predictions.
College football expert picks for Week 13
College football odds subject to change. See all of our college football picks for more on this week's top matchups.
Matchup | Rob Paul | C Jackson Cowart |
---|---|---|
Indiana vs. Ohio State | Jeremiah Smith Over 77.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) | Ohio State -10 (-105 via BetMGM) |
Kentucky vs. Texas | Brock Vandagriff Under 138.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) | Kentucky Under 12.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) |
BYU vs. Arizona State | Cam Skattebo Over 3.5 receptions (-128 via FanDuel) | BYU +3.5 (-120 via FanDuel) |
Colorado vs. Kansas | Shedeur Sanders Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (-110 via bet365) | Kansas +3 (-115 via BetMGM) |
Army vs. Notre Dame | Jeremiyah Love Over 72.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) | Army Under 14.5 points (-120 via DraftKings) |
Alabama vs. Oklahoma | Jalen Milroe Over 212.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) | Alabama -13.5 (-110 via Caesars) |
Rob Paul's Week 13 player prop picks
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Indiana vs. Ohio State prediction: Jeremiah Smith Over 77.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ohio State's offensive line is falling apart, but that hasn't stopped Smith from becoming the best player on this offense. The freshman has topped 77.5 receiving yards in two straight games and seven of 10 this year.
For as good as Indiana's defense has been, it's more susceptible through the air - 18th in vs. 11th in EPA per rush - and hasn't seen a player like Smith this season. If he hits 78-plus receiving yards, a $10 bet pays an $8.77 profit.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.27%
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Kentucky vs. Texas prediction: Brock Vandagriff Under 138.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kentucky's passing game is non-existent and ranks just 70th in EPA per dropback, and Vandagriff is among the worst Power 4 QBs. He's averaging just 136.1 passing yards in SEC games and has gone Under 138.5 in four conference games.
Texas also happens to have the No. 1 defense in EPA per dropback and is allowing the fewest passing yards per game in the country (136.7). If Vandagriff goes Under this number for the third straight time in conference play, a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.49%
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BYU vs. Arizona State prediction: Cam Skattebo Over 3.5 receptions ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In one of the biggest games of the Big 12 season, you best believe Arizona State will feed Cam "Natureboy" Skattebo. To neutralize BYU's pass rush, I expect Kenny Dillingham to get the ball in Skattebo's hands as a pass-catcher.
Skattebo is No. 2 in the country in yards per route run among running backs (2.35), per , and has caught four-plus passes in five of his last six games. Against a BYU defense that's just 38th in EPA per dropback, Skattebo should clear this line and turn a $10 bet into a $7.81 profit.
Best odds: -128 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 56.14%
C Jackson Cowart's Week 13 game picks
Colorado vs. Kansas prediction: Kansas +3 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kansas was ranked in the top 20 earlier this year before a five-game losing streak killed its chances to compete for a Big 12 title.
The Jayhawks have since won three of their last four - their only loss coming by two points on the road against rival Kansas State - and they just knocked off then-No. 6 BYU on the Cougars' home turf. I wouldn't be surprised at all by another upset.
I'm especially compelled by these market-best odds at BetMGM, where a $10 bet would return an $8.70 profit if Kansas wins or avoids a big loss.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Army vs. Notre Dame prediction: Army Under 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
I want to believe in Army's upset potential here; I really do. But the Black Knights haven't faced a top-50 defense all season and remain too one-dimensional offensively to fight back if Notre Dame takes an early lead.
The Fighting Irish boast the sixth-best defense in the nation per SP+, and I fully expect Marcus Freeman's group to hold Army below 14 points for the second straight week. If that happens, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return an $8.33 profit.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction: Alabama -13.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
With two games left in the regular season and two losses already on its resume, Alabama simply can't risk a loss on Saturday if it wants to make the College Football Playoff - and it wouldn't hurt to run up the score, either.
That shouldn't be out of reach against an Oklahoma team with four consecutive losses to SEC opponents by an average of 19 points. Given the way the Crimson Tide dismantled Missouri and LSU in their last two conference matchups, I fully expect them to cover this spread and turn a $10 bet into a $9.09 profit.
Best odds: | Implied probability: 52.38%
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College football picks roundup: Week 13
- College football Week 13 ATS picks
- College football Week 13 upset picks
- College football Week 13 player props
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Rob Paul