Louisiana vs. TCU Prediction Today: New Mexico Bowl Picks & Odds
Last Updated: December 28, 2024 11:30 AM EST • 3 min 26 sec read.
The TCU Horned Frogs are looking to end the season on a high note, but the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns will try to prevent that and bounce back in today's New Mexico Bowl.
Our Louisiana vs. TCU prediction focuses on the underdogs, who appear to be getting their starting quarterback from injury. Our 2024 New Mexico Bowl pick is a part of our college bowl game predictions this week.
Kickoff from University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M., is set for 2:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Our best college football betting sites list the Horned Frogs as 10-point favorites as they search for their fourth consecutive victory.
Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds.
Louisiana vs. TCU prediction & best pick: New Mexico Bowl
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Louisiana +10.5 () vs. TCU ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best pick: Lance LeGendre Over 62.5 receiving yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Louisana vs. TCU ATS prediction
Louisiana to cover the spread: +10.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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As noted by Rob Paul in SBR’s bowl game opt-out tracker, suggests Louisiana will get QB Ben Wooldridge back for the New Mexico Bowl. That could present the Ragin’ Cajuns as a valuable side given the lopsided nature of this spread.
Wooldridge's return could energize Louisiana
The senior QB missed several recent games due to injury but guided Louisiana to an 8-1 record in his nine full games. Of those eight wins quarterbacked by Wooldridge, the Ragin’ Cajuns won six times by double-digits.
Even if Wooldridge isn’t able to make it back on the field as anticipated, a TCU defense that allowed 28.8 points per game (83rd in FBS) could be the element that keeps Louisiana (7-6 ATS) competitive against a point spread that has risen to +10.5 at BetMGM.
The Horned Frogs were 5-7 ATS on the season and will be missing multiple wide receivers to injury, as well as their starting running back and center due to the transfer portal.
Louisiana vs. TCU best pick
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Lance LeGendre Over 62.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via be365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
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The Horned Frogs adjusted defensive efficiency ranks outside the top 50 and could be susceptible to Louisiana’s offense, which ranks 27th nationally in adjusted efficiency. The Louisiana offense averaged 252.0 passing yards per game this season.
One key element of the Ragin’ Cajuns' passing attack has been big-play threat receiver Lance LeGendre, whose 17.0 yards per reception make him a viable candidate to clear his receiving total on Saturday.
LeGendre has gone Over 62.5 receiving yards in six of his past 10 games. In five separate games, he has used his big-play ability to secure a reception of 30-plus yards to help expedite his path to a volume-receiving day without requiring a high receptions count.
Louisiana vs. TCU odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Louisiana vs. TCU live odds
Louisiana vs. TCU opening odds:
- Louisiana: +9.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
- TCU: -9.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Louisiana vs. TCU odds movement
The New Mexico Bowl opened up with TCU as a 9.5-point favorite at BetMGM. The line has bounced around with Louisiana's uncertain quarterback situation. The Horned Frogs were flirting with being two-touchdown favorites as recently as Dec. 22. But when news broke that the Ragin' Cajuns would be getting starter Ben Wooldridge back from injury, the market quickly reassessed.
The spread has shifted in Lousiana's favor ever since and it sits at TCU -10 hours before today's kickoff.
Louisiana vs. TCU injuries
New Mexico Bowl game info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 28
- Kickoff: 2:15 p.m. ET
- Where: University Stadium (Albuquerque, N.M.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 48 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph NW
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Brenden Schaeffer
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