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Iowa State vs. Arizona State Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: Big 12 Championship

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: December 7, 2024 6:00 AM EST • 3 min 15 sec read.

Iowa State Cyclones quarterback Rocco Becht passes the ball against North Dakota during the fourth quarter as we look at our Iowa State vs. Arizona State Player prop picks and touchdown prediction.
Iowa State Cyclones quarterback Rocco Becht passes the ball against North Dakota during the fourth quarter. Photo Nirmalendu Majumdar/Ames Tribune/USA Today Network.

It’s the Big 12 championship game that nobody saw coming when Iowa State and Arizona State face off at Noon ET on Saturday from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

  • The Sun Devils were picked last in the Big 12 preseason poll ahead of their first year in the league
  • The Cyclones were voted sixth and haven’t won the league in program history

Which team will finish the storybook season with a College Football Playoff berth? Arizona State is a short favorite, but our Iowa State vs. Arizona State player props believe in a potential upset. As does Mike Spector in his college football upset picks.

Each school is a deep long shot in the college football championship odds.

Iowa State vs. Arizona State college football player prop picks: Saturday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

  • Xavier Guillory anytime touchdown () ⭐⭐⭐
  • Sam Leavitt Under 204.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Rocco Becht Over 235.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

College football picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds ;tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Iowa State vs. Arizona State touchdown prediction

Xavier Guillory anytime touchdown (+240) ⭐⭐⭐

Arizona State lost its top receiver during the school's regular-season finale, and now the team will attempt to win its first conference title since 2007 without Jordyn Tyson.

Someone needs to step up for the Sun Devils, and tight end Chamon Metayer is the obvious candidate. He ranks second in touchdowns (five) and targets (41) on the team this year. But our best sportsbooks know that, which is why Metayer is getting +125 odds to score a touchdown at FanDuel.

I prefer the value on Xavier Guillory, the school's No. 2 receiver this year. He's scored in two straight games, and SportsLine projects him for 0.32 touchdowns on Saturday.

That means there's slight value in his current +240 anytime touchdown odds for one of your college football Week 15 predictions.

Best odds: +240 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 29.41%

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Best Iowa State vs. Arizona State prop picks

Sam Leavitt Under 204.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

It’s easy to envision ASU quarterback Sam Leavitt struggling without his top weapon. Tyson finished with 72 more targets and 40 more receptions than anyone else on the Sun Devils.

Arizona State is likely to lean into its ground game without Tyson, which could work well because Iowa State’s defense is the most vulnerable in that area. The Cyclones rank 84th in success rate against the run this year compared to 41st against the pass.

Leavitt's struggles and ASU’s preferred game plan provide multiple avenues for him to finish Under this mark. FanDuel has already dropped this line from 207.5, so I’m grabbing this Under before kickoff.

I expanded further on this pick in my Iowa State vs. Arizona State prediction.

Best odds:-114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

Rocco Becht Over 235.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Iowa State quarterback Rocco Becht threw for 137 yards in the team's regular-season finale while completing 13 of his 35 pass attempts. I like Becht’s chances of cashing the Over here if he gets that volume against ASU.

The Sun Devils rank 101st in the country in dropback success rate defensively. That’s why I project Becht to clear 250 passing yards in the Big 12 title game, creating value on this Over at BetMGM.

This line is as high as 241.5 through FanDuel.

Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Iowa State vs. Arizona State game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 6
  • Kickoff: Noon ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium
  • How to watch: ABC
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Arizona State -1.5 (-105 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.