Georgia vs. Texas Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: SEC Championship

The Georgia Bulldogs and Texas Longhorns meet for the second time this season, with a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff on the line in this SEC Championship matchup.

Texas enters sitting second in the college football championship odds, with Georgia not far behind in fourth.

• This is the eighth SEC Championship Game to be a rematch of a regular-season contest (the team that won in the regular season is 5-2 in the SEC Championship)
• Georgia is playing in its fourth straight SEC Championship (second-longest streak)
• The 30 points Texas allowed during a 30-15 Week 8 loss to Georgia were its most all season

The Longhorns are 2.5 or 3-point favorites in a game with a total of 49.5 points, and we use that knowledge as a backdrop for our Georgia vs. Texas player prop picks. As I outlined in my Georgia vs. Texas early picks, I'm favoring the Longhorns to cover. 

Kickoff for the SEC Championship is set for 4 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, airing on ABC.

Georgia vs. Texas college football player prop picks: SEC Championship

Odds as of Thursday and subject to change.

• Quintrevion Wisner touchdown prediction: Wisner to score a first-half touchdown () ⭐⭐
• Carson Beck Under 1.5 passing touchdowns () ⭐⭐⭐
• Quinn Ewers longest pass completion Under 41.5 yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Georgia vs. Texas touchdown prediction

Quintrevion Wisner to score a first-half touchdown (+215) ⭐⭐

Wisner is coming off a historic game last week, as his 186 rushing yards were the fourth-most from a Longhorns player against Texas A&M ever.

Head coach Steve Sarkisian has clearly identified Wisner as a workhorse back. Wisner’s season-high in carries was 17 prior to the team's last three games. But now he's logged 17, 26, and 33 carries in those outings.

Knowing there are two weeks between now and the first playoff game—and maybe more if Texas earns a first-round bye—I expect Sarkisian to give Wisner another significant workload.

Though Wisner produced 207 yards from scrimmage last week, he didn't find the end zone, as Arch Manning poached a touchdown on a wildcat run.

However, Manning hadn't played in the previous two games, and I'm banking on the Texas coaching staff rewarding its powerhouse back early. 

Wisner’s anytime touchdown odds are juiced as high as -250 at Caesars (carrying a 71.43% implied probability). And with Texas’ team total hovering around 26.5 at most of our best sportsbooks, the +215 first-half touchdown odds for Wisner offer great value.

To compare, a winning $10 wager would net $21.50 in profit through DraftKings compared to a $12 profit through FanDuel’s +120 odds for the same prop.

Our Gabe Henderson thinks Wisner will be a factor in pushing the Longhorns forward as part of his college football championship predictions.

Best odds: +215 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 31.75%

Best Georgia vs. Texas prop picks

Carson Beck Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-125) ⭐⭐⭐

Beck has been on a tear over his last three games while posting an 11-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His 11 passing touchdowns during that span are tied for the most among all FBS quarterbacks.

The Longhorns' defense may have allowed a season-high 30 points during the regular-season matchup with Georgia, but it clearly knew how to handle Beck.

The passer completed just 56.1% of his attempts (his second-lowest completion percentage this season) while averaging 4.3 yards per throw with zero touchdowns and three interceptions.

His poor performance came despite Texas getting home for just one sack. We can expect the country’s second-ranked scoring defense and third-ranked unit in total defense to amp up the pressure in this matchup.

The best price for this wager is at Caesars, as BetMGM and FanDuel are both offering the Under at slightly worse -130 odds for one of your college football championship week predictions.

Best odds: -125 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.56%

Quinn Ewers longest pass completion Under 41.5 yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Georgia recorded season highs in sacks (seven) and quarterback pressures (24) during the regular-season matchup between these teams.

Now Texas needs to worry about its elite left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr., who's dealing with an ankle injury ahead of Saturday’s game.

Knowing how the first game played out, I expect Texas to throw fewer times. The total for Ewers’ passing attempts is 30.5, and he's gone Under that mark in two of his last four games and four of the signal-caller's previous eight. 

This is a four-star play because Ewers’ longest completion is 34 or fewer yards in four of his last six matchups, which bodes well when expecting a conservative game plan from the Longhorns' offense.

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

Georgia vs. Texas game info

• When: Saturday, Dec. 7
• Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET 
• Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Ga.)
• How to watch: ABC
• Weather: Indoors
• Favorite: Texas -3 ()

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