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Georgia vs. Alabama Early Picks, Predictions & Odds Week 5

Mike Spector

Last Updated: September 24, 2024 11:04 AM EDT • 3 min 2 sec read.

Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck calls a play against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles as we look at our Georgia vs. Alabama early picks.
Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck calls a play against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles. Photo by Dale Zanine/Imagn Images.

The first matchup of AP top-four teams this season is a mammoth one this weekend, as the Alabama Crimson Tide host the Georgia Bulldogs in a rare regular-season clash.

The two schools are among the favorites in the college football championship odds.

  • Both teams are coming off a bye week
  • This could be the first time Alabama is a home underdog since 2007
  • Georgia and Alabama’s college football playoff odds would receive a massive boost with a win, as would the Heisman odds for Carson Beck and Jalen Milroe

Our Georgia vs. Alabama early leans and odds expect the favorite to cover, especially with the continuity of the Bulldogs' roster and coaching staff.

My early Georgia vs. Alabama prediction

College football picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Georgia -1.5

Best odds: | Implied probability: 52.38%

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The lookahead line was as high as Georgia -4.5 at several of our best sportsbooks (FanDuel, Caesars, and DraftKings) over the summer, and even as recently as the second week of September.

I likely wouldn't have played the Bulldogs at anything north of a field goal. But now Georgia becomes a solid play since the line seems firmly entrenched under the key number of three.

What seemed to drive the line movement was the last impression we received from each team, as Georgia narrowly avoided an upset against Kentucky and Alabama dismantled Wisconsin on the road.

However, the Bulldogs are unfairly being punished for a solid road SEC win, while the Crimson Tide’s game against the Badgers changed completely when Wisconsin quarterback Tyler Van Dyke went out early in the first quarter with a torn ACL. 

Alabama may have won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams, but Nick Saban roamed the sidelines for all of those games. No disrespect to Kalen DeBoer, but he isn’t Saban. Georgia holds the upper hand in this contest thanks to the consistency of its championship-level coaching staff.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on college football or this week's best sportsbook promos.

Georgia vs. Alabama live odds

See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every Week 5 game.

Moneyline

  • Georgia best odds: | Implied probability: 55.56%
  • Alabama best odds: | Implied probability: 47.62%

Most of our best sports betting sites are aligned with the Bulldogs as -125 moneyline favorites, with bet365 being the lone exception at -130.

Georgia enters on a 42-game regular-season winning streak, including an SEC record 28 straight. So it's highly unlikely this line jumps the fence before kickoff.

Spread

  • Georgia best odds: -1.5 (-110) via
  • Alabama best odds: +2.5 (-115) via

BetMGM was the first of our best sports betting apps to lower to -1.5 on Monday morning, which isn't a surprise given the little support to push this line back to the key number of three.

Alabama backers should grab the +2.5 available at FanDuel, as it will likely require wagering on alternate spreads to get a number of three or better again.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 49 (-110) via
  • Under best odds: 49.5 (-112) via

There's not much separation in the totals among our best live betting sites. Books offering the higher O/U of 49.5 being juiced to the Under (as short as -115 at BetMGM) suggests the line is more likely to come down than it is to increase.

Such line movement would align with the trend that Georgia is 3-0 to the Under this year, while the Over has cashed in two of Alabama’s three games.

How to watch Georgia vs. Alabama

  • When: Saturday, Sept. 28
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala.
  • How to watch: ABC/ESPN+
  • Weather: 73 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph SE
  • Favorite: Georgia ()

College football odds pages

Here are our best college football betting sites:

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”