Machibet777 CricketFlorida vs. Texas A&M Picks, Predictions College Football Week 10: Can Aggies End Skid?

A promising start to the season for the Florida Gators has slid to a 4-4 record entering the Week 10 contest with Texas A&M. Read on for our top Florida-Texas A&M picks and predictions.

Florida (4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U) enters this road test on a two-game losing streak. The Gators have given up 87 points combined in their last two games, losses to LSU at Georgia, respectively. Florida has only one win in five SEC games played to date.

Meanwhile, Texas A&M (3-4-1 ATS, 3-5 O/U) also carries a multi-game losing streak into this matchup. A narrow home loss to Ole Miss last week marked the fourth consecutive defeat for the Aggies and capped off a winless month of October. Making matters worse for the Aggies, is a reported flu outbreak leaving multiple players, including quarterback Conner Weigman questionable for Saturday.

Here are our college football betting picks for the Week 10 matchup between Florida and Texas A&M (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).

Check out our college football best bets and all of our top picks for Week 10.

Florida vs. Texas A&M Game Info

Date: Saturday, Nov. 5, noon ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Weather: 67 degrees, 14.3% chance of precipitation, 8-10-mph winds N

Florida vs. Texas A&M Odds

Florida vs. Texas A&M Odds Analysis

Early Saturday morning, the consensus spread has started to shift toward visiting Florida. The line has moved from Texas A&M -3 to -2.5 with 55% of the tickets and 69% of the cash backing the Gators.

The Over/Under was bumped up from the consensus opening line of 53.5 to 54.5 with 55% of the tickets accounting for 69% of the handle on the Over.

Florida vs. Texas A&M Picks

Spread: Texas A&M -3 (-125 via DraftKings)
Over/Under: Under 56 (-110 via Caesars)
Prop: Over 10.5 points in first quarter (-112 via FanDuel)

Florida vs. Texas A&M ATS Pick

Texas A&M -3 (-125) ★★★★

Texas A&M has been a major disappointment this season. This was a team that began the year ranked No. 6 in the country. Fast-forward to Week 10 and A&M sits two games below .500 and has only one win in SEC play. However, it’s also fair to question what Florida has done to warrant support.

Outside of a road loss to Tennessee last month, the Gators’ passing attack has struggled mightily. Bettors can expect Anthony Richardson to struggle once again on Saturday against a Texas A&M defense that has allowed the 11th fewest passing yards per game to opponents.

On the flip side, Florida has been downright awful on defense. In terms of overall adjusted efficiency, the Gators rank 67th out of 131 FBS teams while Texas A&M is 17th. There’s no disputing that the Aggies’ D will be the best unit on the field in this matchup. That alone is reason to lay the short number, but it’s worth noting the upward trajectory of the offense as well.

Last week, A&M had to start true freshman quarterback Conner Weigman due to injuries at the position. He had a strong debut, albeit in defeat, throwing for 338 yards and four touchdowns. It was perhaps the best the Aggies’ passing attack has looked all season and certainly a momentum-building performance.

Of course, Texas A&M’s best weapon is still running back Devin Achane. Given that Florida comes in allowing over 204 rushing yards per game, it seems likely that the Aggies’ star will have another big performance.

Florida vs. Texas A&M O/U Pick

Under 56 (-110) ★★★

Given how bad Florida’s defense has been in recent weeks, it's no wonder why such a profound line move has taken place. At some point, however, bettors have to consider buying back on the massive adjustment that has transpired.

Caesars’ current listing of 56 sits a full 6.5 points higher than where this total first opened. The adjusted total combined with the current point spread is calling for both teams to score in the upper 20s. Can we really trust either of these offenses?

Much like Florida, the Texas A&M defense has been atrocious when it comes to defending the run this season. In fact, the Aggies rank 125th out of 131 FBS teams allowing 220 rushing yards per game. As such, the run-heavy Gators offense is also facing a decent matchup.

Much like Achane should have a big game for A&M, each of Richardson, Montrell Johnson and Trevor Etienne figures to do damage on the ground for the Gators. That being said, a run-heavy game script from both teams may not translate to a shootout.

Bettors also shouldn’t expect Saturday’s matchup to feature much tempo from either offense. Texas A&M ranks 115th in the nation with 64.4 offensive plays per game. Believe it or not, Florida is one of the few teams below the Aggies at only 63.6 plays per game.

Florida vs. Texas A&M Prop Pick

Over 10.5 points in first quarter (-112) ★★

Coming into Saturday’s head-to-head matchup, Florida and Texas A&M have combined to average only 9.2 points in the first quarter of games this season. However, it’s worth noting that the Aggies actually scored 14 of their 28 total points in the first quarter of last week’s game.

One of the big knocks against Jimbo Fisher is his inability to make adjustments and evolve an offensive game plan over the course of a matchup. As such, one could argue that A&M’s first few possessions against the vulnerable Florida defense may be some of the best.

The presence of market value also factors into this prop pick. While FanDuel has the first quarter total set at 10.5, other prominent sportsbooks are currently listing the same line as high as 12.5.

Where to Bet on Florida vs. Texas A&M

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Florida vs. Texas A&M picks made 11/2/2022 at 2:30 p.m. ET

Written By:
Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball, and NASCAR. He counts NFL, WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.