Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green Prediction & Picks Tonight: 68 Ventures Bowl Odds

Bowling Green and Arkansas State meet in the 68 Ventures Bowl at Hancock Whitney Stadium tonight at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN).

• As part of our college bowl game predictions this week, our Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green prediction is backing the Falcons
• Bowling Green star tight end Harold Fannin Jr. is expected to play
• The Falcons haven't won a bowl game since 2014

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds. 

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green line movement

Bowling Green opened as a 6.5-point favorite across our best sports betting apps but saw the line move further in its direction with most books offering the Falcons at -10. 

Only 42% of the money is on Arkansas State to cover, with 58% backing the Falcons. The game total has risen to 53.5 from 49 with 64% of the money on the Over.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green prediction & best pick: 68 Ventures Bowl

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

• Against the spread pick: Bowling Green -7.5 () vs. Arkansas State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• My best pick: Connor Bazelak Under 216.5 passing yards () ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green ATS prediction

Bowling Green to cover the spread: -7.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

Despite suffering more notable portal attrition than Arkansas State, the Falcons have a chance to exploit one of the worst defenses in the nation (124th in total defense).

Bowling Green, conversely, ranks 20th nationally in total defense. This is a spread that we believe should be in double figures, so we like the value of betting on the Falcons.

Battle-tested Falcons hold their mettle

Though Bowling Green dropped its regular season finale to Miami (OH), it ran off a streak of five straight wins by 10-plus points before that. During non-conference play, the Falcons went to Penn State and Texas A&M and nearly came away with two upsets in what ended up being competitive one-possession losses.

Arkansas State, meanwhile, ranks 116th in overall adjusted efficiency and accumulated six of its seven flimsy wins against FCS foes or teams that ranked outside the top 100 in the metric.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green best pick

Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Connor Bazelak Under 216.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

The ground defense is where you’d look to exploit Arkansas State when it comes to player props, as the Red Wolves allow a whopping 225.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 131st out of 134 FBS teams in the category.

However, because Bowling Green will be without lead running back Terion Stewart in this bowl matchup, the props market is currently devoid of Falcons rushing props.

Our view is that Bowling Green is likely to succeed on the ground regardless of who is running the rock. So we’ll fade the quarterback’s involvement.

A projected positive game script for the Falcons could leave Connor Bazelak short of his 216.5-yard passing line, a mark that he has eclipsed just once over his last five games.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green live odds

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green opening odds:

• Arkansas State: +6.5 (-110)
• Bowling Green: -6.5 (-110)

Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green injuries

68 Ventures Bowl game info

• When: Thursday, Dec. 26
• Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Ala.)
• How to watch: ESPN
• Weather: 62 degrees, 7% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph E
• Favorite: Bowling Green -7.5 (-120 via FanDuel)

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